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Emmy Predictions: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Miniseries or TV Movie

This week, in the lead-up to the presentation of the 64th annual Primetime Emmy Awards on ABC, we here at TVRage will be sharing our predictions of who exactly will be taking home the statuettes this year. Yesterday, we posted our predictions for the Outstanding Miniseries or TV Movie category, which you can read here. Today, we've got a few predictions for you, starting with Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Miniseries or TV Movie. As with all miniseries categories in the Emmys, the nominees are a fairly diverse group. Here they are: 

  • Tom Berenger - Hatfields & McCoys as Jim Vance
  • Martin Freeman - Sherlock: A Scandal in Belgravia as Dr. John Watson
  • Ed Harris - Game Change as John McCain
  • Denis O'Hare - American Horror Story as Larry Harvey
  • David Strathairn - Hemingway & Gellhorn as John Dos Passos

The fact that Emmy voters skew older might help the chances of Tom Berenger, though his performance in History Channel's Hatfields & McCoys likely was overshadowed by Kevin Costner and Bill Paxton. Denis O'Hare, meanwhile, was great in his recurring role on the first season of American Horror Story, but he's easily the weakest contender of the bunch here. 

HBO, who traditionally has the lock on Miniseries or Movie categories, especially has a good shot at winning this one. Supporting actors in HBO TV movies or miniseries have taken home the award every year since 2008, and both David Straithairn and Ed Harris are solid contenders -- though, of the two, Harris certainly has the edge with the more-talked-about Game Change, especially since his portrayal of a familiar character (2008 presidential candidate John McCain) was not only solid, but it didn't veer into the realm of parody. 

But really, though, the award should go to Sherlock's Martin Freeman. While he was likely nominated in this category so as not to compete against Sherlock co-star Benedict Cumberbatch (in reality, the two are equal leads), Freeman is certainly the best of the bunch here. His performance as John Watson takes the character beyond its stereotypical portrayal and into something much more nuanced. His chances of winning probably aren't as good as HBO's nominees, but Freeman certainly deserves it. There is, after all, a reason why he's been cast as the lead in the most-anticipated film of the year (The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey). 

WHO SHOULD WIN: Martin Freeman, Sherlock: A Scandal in Belgravia

WHO WILL WIN: Ed Harris, Game Change

What do you think? Am I right? Am I wrong? Let me know in the comments section below, and keep tuning back into TVRage this week for more Emmys predictions. 

- The Emmy Awards
- Sherlock
- Game Change
- Ed Harris
- Martin Freeman

Written by: mcpherson
Sep 16th, 2012, 6:03 pm

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