Emmy Predictions: Outstanding Lead Actress in a Miniseries or TV Movie

This week, TVRage has been providing analysis of the various nominees for the upcoming 64th Primetime Emmy Awards, which are slated to air this Sunday, September 23, on ABC. You can check out all of our Emmy predictions and news here. Now, meanwhile, we're getting to the last category of the miniseries and TV movie group: Outstanding Lead Actress. Here are the nominees: 

  • Connie Britton as Vivien Harmon in American Horror Story (FX)
  • Ashley Judd as Rebecca Winstone in Missing (ABC)
  • Nicole Kidman as Martha Gellhorn in Hemingway & Gellhorn (HBO)
  • Julianne Moore as Sarah Palin in Game Change (HBO)
  • Emma Thompson as She in The Song of Lunch (PBS)

First of all, I'd like to comment on how ridiculous and hilarious it is that ABC managed to pass off a cancelled series as a 'miniseries.' This entire section of the Emmys really is a mess, and should seriously be completely renovated before next year's awards. Missing was cancelled by ABC, and is debatable in the way that American Horror Story's presence in here is debatable, or in the way that somehow continuing shows like Sherlock and Luther are included here. Seriously, Emmys, this shouldn't be the catch-all section of the awards. 

Having said that, Ashley Judd won't win in this category. She's not been nominated for any other major television awards for her performance, and to be honest, her nomination here is probably the most political thing to come out of this year's ultimately convoluted nomination process. It's also a long shot for Emma Thompson, because, despite as great as The Song of Lunch was, it garnered virtually no buzz, and definitely won't be a priority for Emmy voters. 

Connie Britton of American Horror Story has a chance, but she's by no means the best here. Nicole Kidman, as a big name in an HBO movie, probably would be a shoo-in if it wasn't for another big name in an HBO movie. Julianne Moore is a big name playing a big name in Game Change, in which she plays former Alaska governor and VP nominee Sarah Palin. Though it would have been easier to turn the character into a Tina Fey-esque parody, Moore made Palin oddly sympathetic, for her faults, and for that she is undeniably the most deserving -- and most likely to win -- nominee in her category. 

WHO SHOULD WIN: Julianne Moore, Game Change

WHO WILL WIN: Julianne Moore, Game Change

What do you think? Am I right? Am I wrong? Let me know in the comments section below, and keep tuning back into TVRage this week for more Emmys predictions.

- The Emmy Awards
- Julianne Moore

Written by: mcpherson
Sep 19th, 2012, 10:00 pm

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