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Emmy Predictions: Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series

Julie BowenThis week, TVRage has been providing analysis of the various nominees for the upcoming 64th annual Primetime Emmy Awards, which are slated to air this Sunday, September 23, on ABC. You can check out all of our Emmy predictions and news here. Now, we've arrived at the hotly contested category of Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series. Here are the nominees: 

 

  • Mayim Bialik as Amy Farrah Fowler in The Big Bang Theory (CBS)
  • Julie Bowen in Modern Family (ABC)
  • Kathryn Joosten as Karen McCluskey in Desperate Housewives (ABC)
  • Sofia Vegara as Gloria-Delgado Pritchett in Modern Family (ABC)
  • Merritt Wever as Zoey Barkow in Nurse Jackie (Showtime)
  • Kristen Wiig as Various Characters in Saturday Night Live (NBC)

 

This category offers up a nice mix of old favorites and new faces to the Emmy stage. Bowen, Vergara, and Wiig were all up for the award last year, while this will mark Bialik, Joosten, and Wever's first nominations in this category. It should be noted however that Joosten is a two-time previous Emmy winner, in the category of outstanding guest actress in a comedy series. One surprising omission is Jane Lynch, who was nominated last year, and won in 2010. I guess it just goes to show how far the once mighty Glee has fallen.

Bowen took home the golden statue last year, alongside her TV husband Ty Burrell's win in the supporting actor category. With Modern Family still remaining both incredibly popular and a critical darling, there is no real reason she shouldn't win again this year. You might think the Academy would change it up and give the award to Vergara this time, but honestly, I see Vergara's nomination as more of an acknowledgement of her popularity than anything else. I am a big Modern Family fan, but Sofia is far from an Emmy-worthy actress. She's beautiful no doubt, and she does have good comic timing, but she's barely even playing a character. She's just playing Sofia Vergara, with the temper and whining levels turned through the roof.

Kristen Wiig could conceivably win for her last season on SNL, but I'll be very surprised if it actually happens. I have absolutely nothing against her, but her type of sketch comedy work rarely gets the same respect as shows like Modern Family or even Nurse Jackie. While I know the Emmy voters are only supposed to judge based on the submitted episode, I have a hard time believing no one takes the overall character performance into consideration. On that end, the very nature of SNL's format lends itself to one-note jokes, and characters with no real substance.

Mayim Bialik is terrific in her role as Amy on "Big Bang", but I don't see her standing any real chance of winning over the lines of Bowen, Vergara, and Wiig. Jim Parsons is the only person to ever win an Emmy for their acting work on the series, and I don't expect that to change this year.

Kathryn Joosten is the nominee I see as the biggest threat to defeat Bowen. Why? Because she's A. an Emmy favorite, and B. dead. I don't at all mean that as a knock on Joosten, who has always been talented, but we all know that Awards shows just love celebrating the recently deceased. So, if anyone other than Julie Bowen leaves with the statue, I'm predicting it will be someone who accepts on Kathryn Joosten's behalf.

Now, I'm not very familiar with Nurse Jackie, so I can't comment on the quality of Merritt Wever's performance itself. That said, the show has only taken home one single Emmy award in its four season run, and that does not at all bode well for Wever's chances at an upset win.

WHO SHOULD WIN: Julie Bowen, Modern Family

WHO WILL WIN: Julie Bowen, Modern Family

What do you think? Is my prediction right on the money, or did my thought process take a wrong turn back at Albuquerque? Feel free to offer your own predictions in the comments section, and stay tuned to TVRage as we cover more categories in the days to come.


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