Well, folks, here we are: the 64th Primetime Emmy Awards air TONIGHT on ABC, and we here at TVRage have our final Emmy prediction lined up for you. If you want to take a look at our thoughts for the other categories in the running tonight, check all of them out here. In the meantime, here are the nominees for the final Emmy category: Outstanding Drama Series.
- Boardwalk Empire (HBO)
- Breaking Bad (AMC)
- Downton Abbey (PBS)
- Game of Thrones (HBO)
- Homeland (Showtime)
- Mad Men (AMC)
It's not easy to rule out any series in this category, but if I had to pick a few that don't have a chance at winning, I'd start with Downton Abbey. It's a series that's picked up quite a lot of buzz, and rightfully so. It even appeals to the generally older Emmy voters. Having said that, Downton Abbey isn't going to win, not over this category's frontrunners.
Nor will Boardwalk Empire, who, despite having an absolutely fantastic season, simply won't entice Emmy voters to pick it over the category's more enticing fare. In fact, I wonder if this isn't because Boardwalk Empire is more reminiscent of early HBO fare (i.e. The Sopranos, Deadwood) than it is of what is currently on the palette of modern TV. That's not to say Boardwalk Empire isn't fantastic, just that it would probably have been more successful had it aired seven years ago.
And, sadly, I don't think HBO's Game of Thrones stands much of a chance this year, either. While I loved the fantasy drama's second season, it didn't really pick up its pace until the very end. It was still a great season, but probably not jaw-dropping enough to score a win in this category. Having said that, with what's to come in season 3, I wouldn't be surprised if the series emerged as a frontrunner for next year's awards.
Really, this is a three-way competition between AMC's two shows and Showtime's one entry.
There's the old bear, Mad Men, which is so consistently good that it's hard not to want it to win the award for every season. It's incredibly likely that it will take home its fifth trophy tonight. But we all know that Mad Men is great, and that it deserves a win. Shouldn't we give other, equally great shows a chance?
For example, AMC's Breaking Bad gave us one hell of a show with its fourth season. Most of Breaking Bad's accolades have been limited to the acting categories, but there's no doubt in my mind that the show deserves a trophy before it turns out the lights for good next year. This is the first of its three final chances, and I would be ecstatic to see my favorite series take home the trophy.
Having said that, the more likely usurper is newcomer Homeland, which replaced category mainstay Dexter as Showtime's most likely winner. It's certainly much more likely to snag the award than Dexter ever was, even competing against Mad Men. There's no doubt that the show will get some Emmy love (Claire Danes is nothing short of a lock for the Outstanding Actress in a Drama category), but I wouldn't mind seeing the freshman series repeat the success it saw at the Golden Globe Awards (where it won Best Drama Series). This year more than ever, it's quite possible that Mad Men's position on the Emmy throne could be upset, and Homeland's certainly the show to do it.
WHO SHOULD WIN: Breaking Bad, Homeland
WHO WILL WIN: Mad Men
This is a tough category, don't you think? Who's your pick to win? Who deserves to take home the trophy? Let us know in the comments section below, and tune into the Emmy Awards tonight on ABC.