Primetime Ratings, Wednesday, 4/2/14

CBS won Wednesday night in all measures.

'Survivor' matched last week's season low of 2.3, but once again knocked off 'American Idol' at 8 p.m. 'Criminal Minds' shot up four tenths to a 2.6. 'CSI' ended the eye's night by falling two tenths to a 1.8. Over on FOX, 'American Idol' dropped a tenth to a 2.1.

'The Middle' bumped up a tenth to a 2.0 to start things off for ABC. 'Suburgatory' recovered nicely from last week's drop, rising two tenths to a 1.7. 'Modern Family' wasn't so lucky, falling three tenths to a 3.3, although it still topped the night in the 18-49 demo.

'Mixology' matched last week's 1.6, which is quite a good thing after several down weeks. I still think it's more likely to get the ax than not though. 'Nashville' even had a decent night, rising two tenths to a 1.5, the struggling sophomore drama's first positive movement in several weeks.

'Revolution' rose for once, although it was only back up to the 1.3 it spent weeks sitting at previously. 'Law & Order: SVU' jumped up two tenths to a 1.7. 'Chicago P.D.' also increased, rising two tenths to a 1.6. Maybe this means 'P.D.' is finally recovering from its recent sharp decline. Finally, The CW had a down night, with 'Arrow' dropping a tenth to a 0.8, and 'The 100' dropping a tenth to a 0.6.

Key: Broadcast Network - Show Name - 18-49 Rating - 18-49 Share - Total Viewers In Millions

8PM

CBS - Survivor (N) - 2.3 - 7 - 9.48

FOX - American Idol (N) - 2.1 - 6 - 8.89

ABC - The Middle (N) - 2.0 - 7 - 7.20

NBC - Revolution (N) - 1.3 - 4 - 4.40

CW - Arrow (N) - 0.8 - 3 - 2.32

8:30PM

ABC - Suburgatory (N) - 1.7 - 5 - 5.37

9PM

ABC - Modern Family (N) - 3.3 - 9 - 9.00

CBS - Criminal Minds (N) - 2.6 - 7 - 10.47

NBC - Law & Order: SVU (N) - 1.7 - 5 - 5.90

CW - The 100 (N) - 0.6 - 2 - 1.90

9:30PM

ABC - Mixology (N) - 1.6 - 4 - 4.33

10PM

CBS - CSI (N) - 1.8 - 5 - 9.77

NBC - Chicago P.D. (N) - 1.6 - 5 - 5.75

ABC - Nashville (N) - 1.5 - 4 - 5.18

Source: Nielsen Media Research

PRIMETIME PROGNOSTICATION

The five main factors I consider when making a prediction are thus:

1. Does the show win its timeslot, and how often? (CW shows are exempt from this criteria.)

2. How do the show's ratings compare to similar programs on the same network? (Self explanatory.)

3. How long has the show been on the air? (Veteran series are always more likely to get renewed.)

4. Does the show have any high-profile leads? (Never discount star power.)

5. How much does the show cost to make? (Approximately, exact TV budgets are hard to come by.)

Newly updated predictions are in bold.

The Middle - Likely Renewal

Suburgatory - Likely Renewal

Modern Family - Guaranteed Renewal

Mixology - Likely Cancellation

Nashville - Likely Cancellation

Criminal Minds - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

CSI - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

Arrow - Already Renewed

The 100 - Likely Renewal

No Scripted Programming Available

Revolution - Guaranteed Cancellation

Law & Order: SVU - Guaranteed Renewal

Chicago P.D. - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/19/14 *Correct Prediction

Prediction Stats

Shows correctly predicted (so far) - 22
ABC - Mind Games, Once Upon a Time in Wonderland
CBS - 2 Broke Girls, The Big Bang Theory, Blue Bloods, Criminal Minds, CSI, Elementary, The Good Wife, Hawaii Five-0, The Millers, NCIS, NCIS: Los Angeles, Person of Interest, Two and a Half Men
FOX - Brooklyn Nine-Nine, New Girl, Raising Hope
NBC - Chicago Fire, Chicago P.D., Grimm, Parks and Recreation

Shows incorrectly predicted (so far) - 3 - The Following, The Mindy Project, Mom

Current accuracy rate: 88%