Primetime Ratings, Monday, 4/14/14

 

 

NBC won the 18-49 demo race, while ABC drew in the most total viewers.

Despite the Peacock's demo win, 'The Voice' dipped one tenth to a 3.4, setting a new season low for a Monday broadcast. Conversely, rival reality competition series 'Dancing with the Stars' bumped up a single tenth to a 2.3 for ABC.

CBS' post-'HIMYM' Monday future looks okay, if not that great, with new line-up leader '2 Broke Girls' matching the 2.3 its last new episode earned. As most expected, 'Friends with Better Lives' second episode plummeted almost a full point to a 1.8. That said, since this is 'FwBL's first week airing in its regular post-'Broke' timeslot, I'm putting off making a prediction until next week's numbers come in. If it drops again though, its chances of renewal definitely aren't good.

Moving on, 'Mike & Molly' rose a tenth to a 2.1. The season finale of 'Mom' unexpectedly plunged down three tenths to a 1.9, although that doesn't really matter, due to the Chuck Lorre freshman comedy already having been picked up for Season 2.

Over on FOX, 'Bones' shed two tenths, earning a 1.4. 'The Following' once again matched its series low of 1.4, and has now stayed put at that number for five straight weeks. As for The CW, 'Star-Crossed' matched its near eternal 0.3 rating, while 'The Tomorrow People' dipped back down to a 0.4.

I'm not one to like bearing bad news, but seriously 'TTP' fans, the show is not coming back. It was moved from Wednesday to Monday in the hopes of sparking a revival, but the ratings only got even worse from there. The only CW shows that rate worse are 'Star-Crossed' (surefire goner), 'Beauty and the Beast' (guaranteed ax victim) and 'Hart of Dixie' (which will get renewed for a final season, if only to give it enough episodes for syndication).

Key: Broadcast Network - Show Name - 18-49 Rating - 18-49 Share - Total Viewers In Millions

8PM

NBC - The Voice (N) - 3.4 - 10 - 11.85

ABC - Dancing with the Stars (N) - 2.3 - 7 - 14.78

CBS - 2 Broke Girls (N) - 2.3 - 7 - 7.22

FOX - Bones (N) - 1.4 - 4 - 5.79

CW - Star-Crossed (N) - 0.3 - 1 - 0.76

8:30PM

CBS - Friends with Better Lives (N) - 1.8 - 5 - 5.69

9PM

CBS - Mike & Molly (N) - 2.1 - 6 - 7.49

FOX - The Following (N) - 1.4 - 4 - 4.36

CW - The Tomorrow People (N) - 0.4 - 1 - 1.06

9:30PM

CBS - Mom (Season Finale) - 1.9 - 5 - 6.86

10PM

NBC - The Blacklist (R) - 1.5 - 4 - 5.82

ABC - Castle (R) - 1.3 - 4 - 8.14

CBS - Person of Interest (R) - 0.9 - 3 - 4.53

Source: Nielsen Media Research

PRIMETIME PROGNOSTICATION

The five main factors I consider when making a prediction are thus:

1. Does the show win its timeslot, and how often? (CW shows are exempt from this criteria.)

2. How do the show's ratings compare to similar programs on the same network? (Self explanatory.)

3. How long has the show been on the air? (Veteran series are always more likely to get renewed.)

4. Does the show have any high-profile leads? (Never discount star power.)

5. How much does the show cost to make? (Approximately, exact TV budgets are hard to come by.)

Castle - Likely Renewal

2 Broke Girls - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

Friends with Better Lives - Too Soon to Tell

Mike & Molly - Likely Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

Mom - Likely Cancellation Renewed 3/13/14 *Incorrect Prediction

Intelligence - Guaranteed Cancellation

Star-Crossed - Guaranteed Cancellation

Beauty and the Beast - Guaranteed Cancellation

The Tomorrow People - Guaranteed Cancellation

Bones - Already Renewed

Almost Human - Likely Cancellation

The Following - Likely Cancellation Renewed 3/7/14 *Incorrect Prediction

The Blacklist - Already Renewed

Prediction Stats

Shows correctly predicted (so far) - 22
ABC - Mind Games, Once Upon a Time in Wonderland
CBS - 2 Broke Girls, The Big Bang Theory, Blue Bloods, Criminal Minds, CSI, Elementary, The Good Wife, Hawaii Five-0, The Millers, NCIS, NCIS: Los Angeles, Person of Interest, Two and a Half Men
FOX - Brooklyn Nine-Nine, New Girl, Raising Hope
NBC - Chicago Fire, Chicago P.D., Grimm, Parks and Recreation

Shows incorrectly predicted (so far) - 3 - The Following, The Mindy Project, Mom

Current accuracy rate: 88%