Primetime Ratings, Friday, 4/25/14

 

 

ABC picked up the 18-49 demo win, while CBS drew the most total viewers.

The season finale of 'Last Man Standing' rose two tenths to a 1.4. 'Shark Tank' rose a single tenth to a 1.8. '20/20' plunged four tenths to a 1.4. 'Unforgettable' matched last week's 0.9. 'Hawaii Five-0,' and 'Blue Bloods' both matched their last new episodes, posting a 1.3 and a 1.4 respectively.

Over on the Peacock, 'Dateline' dipped a tenth to a 1.1. Conversely, 'Grimm' rose a tenth to a 1.2. The pattern of 'Hannibal' doing worse after 'Grimm' than it does after 'Dateline' was broken, with the cult favorite drama rising one tenth to a 0.9. 'Hannibal's prediction has been upgraded below.

Two new episodes of FOX's 'Kitchen Nightmares' earned a 1.0 and a 1.2 respectively, both up from last week. As for The CW, 'Whose Line Is It Anyway' rose for the first time this season, increasing a tenth to a 0.5. 'Hart of Dixie' matched its constant 0.3. 'Hart's prediction has also been upgraded.

If you're wondering why I'm so confident 'Hart of Dixie' will get renewed, despite its dreadful ratings, the answer is simple: syndication. Off-network rerun rights continue to be a big source of profit, and 'HOD' is only one season away from qualifying for an 88-episode syndication package. Canceling the show now would essentially end up losing The CW a lot of money in the long run.

Key: Broadcast Network - Show Name - 18-49 Rating - 18-49 Share - Total Viewers In Millions

8PM

ABC - Last Man Standing (Season Finale) - 1.4 - 6 - 6.10

NBC - Dateline (N) - 1.1 - 4 - 5.71

FOX - Kitchen Nightmares (N) - 1.0 - 4 - 2.84

CBS - Unforgettable (N) - 0.9 - 3 - 7.64

CW - Whose Line is it Anyway? (N) - 0.5 - 2 - 1.47

8:30PM

ABC - Last Man Standing (R) - 1.0 - 4 - 4.92

CW - Whose Line is it Anyway? (R) - 0.5 - 2 - 1.33

9PM

ABC - Shark Tank (N) - 1.8 - 6 - 7.11

CBS - Hawaii Five-0 (N) - 1.3 - 4 - 9.26

NBC - Grimm (N) - 1.2 - 4 - 4.39

FOX - Kitchen Nightmares (N) - 1.2 - 4 - 3.15

CW - Hart of Dixie (N) - 0.3 - 1 - 0.75

10PM

CBS - Blue Bloods (N) - 1.4 - 4 - 11.05

ABC - 20/20 (N) - 1.4 - 5 - 5.89

NBC - Hannibal (N) - 0.9 - 3 - 2.45

Source: Nielsen Media Research

PRIMETIME PROGNOSTICATION

The five main factors I consider when making a prediction are thus:

1. Does the show win its timeslot, and how often? (CW shows are exempt from this criteria.)

2. How do the show's ratings compare to similar programs on the same network? (Self explanatory.)

3. How long has the show been on the air? (Veteran series are always more likely to get renewed.)

4. Does the show have any high-profile leads? (Never discount star power.)

5. How much does the show cost to make? (Approximately, exact TV budgets are hard to come by.)

Note: Ratings expectations for shows airing on Friday night are generally lower.

Last Man Standing - Guaranteed Renewal

The Neighbors - Guaranteed Cancellation

Unforgettable - Already Renewed

Hawaii Five-0 - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

Blue Bloods - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

Hart of Dixie - Guaranteed Renewal

The Carrie Diaries - Guaranteed Cancellation

Rake - Guaranteed Cancellation

Enlisted - Guaranteed Cancellation

Raising Hope - Guaranteed Cancellation Canceled 3/10/14 *Correct Prediction

Grimm - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/19/14 *Correct Prediction

Hannibal - Guaranteed Renewal

Dracula - Guaranteed Cancellation

Prediction Stats

Shows correctly predicted - 22
ABC - Mind Games (C), Once Upon a Time in Wonderland (C)
CBS - 2 Broke Girls (R), The Big Bang Theory (R), Blue Bloods (R), Criminal Minds (R), CSI (R) Elementary (R), The Good Wife (R), Hawaii Five-0 (R), The Millers (R), NCIS (R)                          NCIS: Los Angeles (R), Person of Interest (R), Two and a Half Men (R)
FOX - Brooklyn Nine-Nine (R), New Girl (R), Raising Hope (C)
NBC - Chicago Fire (R), Chicago P.D. (R), Grimm (R), Parks and Recreation (R)

Shows incorrectly predicted - 3 - The Following (R), The Mindy Project (R),  Mom (R)

Current accuracy rate: 88%

Shows that were renewed or canceled prior to 'Primetime Prognostication's debut - 21
ABC - The Assets (C), Back in the Game (C), Killer Women (C), Lucky 7 (C)
CBS - Unforgettable (R), We Are Men (C)
CW - Arrow (R), The Originals (R), Reign (R), Supernatural (R), The Vampire Diaries (R)
FOX - American Dad (C by FOX, R by TBS), Bob's Burgers (R), Bones (R), Glee (R), Sleepy Hollow (R), The Simpsons (R)
NBC - The Blacklist (R), Ironside (C), The Michael J. Fox Show (C), Sean Saves the World (C), Welcome to the Family (C)