Primetime Ratings, Thursday, 5/8/14

 

 

CBS won Thursday night in all measures.

'The Big Bang Theory' nosedived a whopping seven tenths to a new season low of 3.8, although it still topped the night in every respect, because of course it did. 'The Millers' fell one tenth to a new series low of 1.9. The season finale of 'Two and a Half Men' came in even with last week's 2.1. 'Bad Teacher' dipped a tenth to a 1.3. 'Elementary' also dropped a single tenth, matching its prior series low of 1.5.

FOX's 'Hell's Kitchen' dipped one tenth to a 1.5 of its own. 'American Idol' rose a tenth to a 1.6, and I continue to wonder why it was renewed. Recently canceled sitcom 'Surviving Jack' bumped up two tenths to a 1.2 for its final installment, in a rare case of a show rising after being axed.

'Grey's Anatomy' decreased one tenth to a 2.5 for ABC. 'Black Box' dipped a single tenth to a 1.2, and is quickly cementing its status as a certain cancellation. Moving on to the Peacock, 'Hollywood Game Night' matched its last new episode's 0.9.

The first annual 'American Comedy Awards' failed to move the needle, earning a decidedly blah 1.0. NBC just can't win on Thursdays. Especially now that they canceled 'Community!' Sorry, I'm still kind of in shock over that development. As for The CW, 'The Vampire Diaries' fell back down to its previous series low of 0.7. 'Reign' matched last week's 0.5.

Key: Broadcast Network - Show Name - 18-49 Rating - 18-49 Share - Total Viewers In Millions

8PM

CBS - The Big Bang Theory (N) - 3.8 - 13 - 14.42

FOX - Hell's Kitchen (N) - 1.5 - 5 - 4.30

NBC - Hollywood Game Night (N) - 0.9 - 3 - 3.18

ABC - Grey's Anatomy (R) - 0.7 - 2 - 3.19

CW -  The Vampire Diaries (N) - 0.7 - 2 - 1.50

8:30PM

CBS - The Millers (N) - 1.9 - 6 - 8.96

9PM

ABC - Grey's Anatomy (N) - 2.5 - 7 - 7.95

CBS - Two and a Half Men (Season Finale) - 2.1 - 6 - 8.35

FOX - American Idol (N) - 1.6 - 5 - 7.18

NBC - American Comedy Awards (N) - 1.0 - 3 - 3.15

CW - Reign (N) - 0.5 - 2 - 1.34

9:30PM

CBS - Bad Teacher (N) - 1.3 - 4 - 5.73

FOX - Surviving Jack (Series Finale) - 1.2 - 3 - 4.00

10PM

CBS - Elementary (N) - 1.5 - 4 - 7.54

ABC - Black Box (N) - 1.2 - 3 - 4.64

Source: Nielsen Media Research

PRIMETIME PROGNOSTICATION

The five main factors I consider when making a prediction are thus:

1. Does the show win its timeslot, and how often? (CW shows are exempt from this criteria.)

2. How do the show's ratings compare to similar programs on the same network? (Self explanatory.)

3. How long has the show been on the air? (Veteran series are always more likely to get renewed.)

4. Does the show have any high-profile leads? (Never discount star power.)

5. How much does the show cost to make? (Approximately, exact TV budgets are hard to come by.)

Newly updated predictions are in bold.

Once Upon a Time in Wonderland - Guaranteed Cancellation Canceled 3/28/14 *Correct Prediction

Grey's Anatomy - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 5/8/14 *Correct Prediction

Scandal - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 5/8/14 *Correct Prediction

Black Box - Guaranteed Cancellation

The Big Bang Theory - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/12/14 *Correct Prediction

The Millers - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

Two and a Half Men - Likely Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

The Crazy Ones - Guaranteed Cancellation Canceled 5/10/14 *Correct Prediction

Bad Teacher - Guaranteed Cancellation Canceled 5/10/14 *Correct Prediction

Elementary - Likely Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

The Vampire Diaries - Already Renewed

Reign - Already Renewed

Surviving Jack - Guaranteed Cancellation Canceled 5/7/14 *Correct Prediction

Community - Guaranteed Renewal Canceled 5/9/14 *Incorrect Prediction

Parks and Recreation - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/19/14 *Correct Prediction

Parenthood - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 5/11/14 *Correct Prediction

Prediction Stats

Shows correctly predicted - 60

ABC - 17

Castle (R), The Goldbergs (R), Grey's Anatomy (R), Last Man Standing (R)
Marvel's Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. (R), The Middle (R), Mind Games (C), Mixology (C), Modern Family (R)
The Neighbors (C), Once Upon a Time (R), Once Upon a Time in Wonderland (C), Resurrection (R)
Revenge (R), Scandal (R), Super Fun Night (C), Trophy Wife (C)

CBS - 18

2 Broke Girls (R), Bad Teacher (C), The Big Bang Theory (R), Blue Bloods (R), The Crazy Ones (C)
Criminal Minds (R), CSI (R), Elementary (R), Friends with Better Lives (C), The Good Wife (R)
Hawaii Five-0 (R), Hostages (C), Intelligence (C), The Millers (R), NCIS (R), NCIS: Los Angeles (R)
Person of Interest (R), Two and a Half Men (R)

CW - 5

The 100 (R), The Carrie Diaries (C), Hart of Dixie (R), Star-Crossed (C), The Tomorrow People (C)

FOX - 8

Almost Human (C), Brooklyn Nine-Nine (R), Dads (C), Enlisted (C), New Girl (R), Raising Hope (C)
Rake (C), Surviving Jack (C)

NBC - 12

About a Boy (R), Believe (C), Chicago Fire (R), Chicago P.D. (R), Crisis (C), Dracula (C), Grimm (R)
Hannibal (R), Law & Order: SVU (R), Parenthood (R), Parks and Recreation (R), Revolution (C)

Shows incorrectly predicted - 9

Beauty and the Beast (R), Community (C), The Following (R), Growing Up Fisher (C), The Mentalist (R)
The Mindy Project (R), Mom (R), Nashville (R), Suburgatory (C)

Current accuracy rate: 87%

Shows that were renewed or canceled prior to 'Primetime Prognostication's debut - 24

ABC - The Assets (C), Back in the Game (C), Betrayal (C), Killer Women (C), Lucky 7 (C)
CBS - Unforgettable (R), We Are Men (C)
CW - Arrow (R), The Originals (R), Reign (R), Supernatural (R), The Vampire Diaries (R)
FOX - American Dad (C by FOX, R by TBS), Bob's Burgers (R), Bones (R), Family Guy (R), Glee (R), Sleepy Hollow (R), The Simpsons (R)
NBC - The Blacklist (R), Ironside (C), The Michael J. Fox Show (C), Sean Saves the World (C), Welcome to the Family (C)