Primetime Ratings, Sunday, 5/11/14

 

 

ABC and CBS split the Sunday victory.

'America's Funniest Home Videos' began the night by matching last week's 1.6. The two-hour season finale of 'Once Upon a Time' earned a 2.3, up two tenths from last week, and even with 2013's swan song. The much talked about season finale of 'Revenge' scored a 1.4, up a single tenth from last week, but down three tenths from last season's conclusion.

'60 Minutes' started things off for the Eye by rising a tenth to a 1.1. 'The Amazing Race' matched last week's 1.7. Renewed dramas 'The Good Wife' and 'The Mentalist' earned matching 1.2s, the former increasing one tenth, and the latter tying last week's series low.

FOX's entire Sunday line-up fell, starting with 'Bob's Burgers' dipping two tenths to a 0.9. 'American Dad' dropped a single tenth, posting a 1.2. 'The Simpsons' plunged four tenths to a 1.6. 'Family Guy' dipped a tenth to a 2.1. 'Cosmos' tumbled down half a point to a 1.1.

'Dateline' fell half a point to a 0.6 for NBC. The Peacock's heavily hyped Zoe Saldana/Jason Isaacs fronted minseries adaptation of the classic horror novel 'Rosemary's Baby' disappointed in a big way, earning only a 1.1. That's a single tenth higher than the collective 1.0 that now canceled drama duo 'Believe' and 'Crisis' pulled down last Sunday night.

Key: Broadcast Network - Show Name - 18-49 Rating - 18-49 Share - Total Viewers In Millions

7PM

ABC - America's Funniest Home Videos (N) - 1.6 - 6 - 6.07

CBS - 60 Minutes (N) - 1.1 - 4 - 8.50

FOX - Bob's Burgers (N) - 0.9 - 4 - 1.97

NBC - Dateline (N) - 0.6 - 3 - 3.28

7:30PM

FOX - American Dad (N) - 1.2 - 4 - 2.40

8PM

ABC - Once Upon a Time (Season Finale) - 2.3 - 7 - 6.80

CBS - The Amazing Race (N) - 1.7 - 5 - 7.37

FOX - The Simpsons (N) - 1.6 - 6 - 3.66

8:30PM

FOX - Family Guy (N) - 2.1 - 6 - 4.16

9PM

CBS - The Good Wife (N) - 1.2 - 4 - 8.73

NBC - Rosemary's Baby (N) - 1.1 - 3 - 3.68

FOX - Cosmos: A Spacetime Odyssey (N) - 1.1 - 3 - 3.46

10PM

ABC - Revenge (Season Finale) - 1.4 - 4 - 4.87

CBS - The Mentalist (N) - 1.2 - 4 - 8.64

Source: Nielsen Media Research

PRIMETIME PROGNOSTICATION

Brace yourself faithful readers, as Primetime Prognostication is about to do some house cleaning. With cancellation/renewal decisions for every scripted broadcast network show now in, every show that has already aired all its episodes for this season is being removed from its network's respective section, to make room for soon to premiere summer series.

As further shows end their seasons, they too will be removed from their corresponding sections. I've also cleaned up and updated my final prediction stats chart for the 2013-2014 TV season, which can be viewed at the bottom. That will stay put until the end of May. I will continue to make predictions for all scripted summer programs, and start the whole thing over in the fall.

The five main factors I consider when making a prediction are thus:

1. Does the show win its timeslot, and how often? (CW shows are exempt from this criteria.)

2. How do the show's ratings compare to similar programs on the same network? (Self explanatory.)

3. How long has the show been on the air? (Veteran series are always more likely to get renewed.)

4. Does the show have any high-profile leads? (Never discount star power.)

5. How much does the show cost to make? (Approximately, exact TV budgets are hard to come by.)

Once Upon a Time - Renewed (Correctly Predicted) Season Finale: 5/11/14

Revenge - Renewed (Correctly Predicted) Season Finale: 5/11/14

The Good Wife - Renewed (Correctly Predicted) Season Finale: 5/18/14

The Mentalist - Renewed (Incorrectly Predicted) Season Finale: 5/18/14

The Simpsons - Renewed (No Prediction Made) Season Finale: 5/18/14

Bob's Burgers - Renewed (No Prediction Made) Season Finale: 5/18/14

Family Guy - Renewed (No Prediction Made) Season Finale: 5/18/14

American Dad - Moving to TBS (No Prediction Made) Season Finale: 5/18/14

Believe - Canceled (Correctly Predicted) Season Finale: 6/15/14

Crisis - Canceled (Correctly Predicted) Season Finale: 6/15/14

Final 2013-2014 Season Prediction Stats

ABC - Correct: 17, Incorrect: 2, Ineligible: 5

Renewals

Correct

Castle, The Goldbergs, Grey's Anatomy, Last Man Standing, Marvel's Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.
The Middle, Modern Family, Once Upon a Time, Resurrection, Revenge, Scandal

Incorrect

Nashville

Cancellations

Correct

Mind Games, Mixology, The Neighbors, OUaT in Wonderland, Super Fun Night, Trophy Wife

Incorrect

Suburgatory

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

The Assets, Back in the Game, Betrayal, Killer Women, Lucky 7

CBS - Correct: 18, Incorrect: 2, Ineligible: 2

Renewals

Correct

2 Broke Girls, The Big Bang Theory, Blue Bloods, Criminal Minds, CSI, Elementary, The Good Wife
Hawaii Five-0, The Millers, NCIS, NCIS: Los Angeles, Person of Interest, Two and a Half Men

Incorrect

The Mentalist, Mom

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

Unforgettable

Cancellations

Correct

Bad Teacher, The Crazy Ones, Friends with Better Lives, Hostages, Intelligence

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

We Are Men

CW - Correct: 5, Incorrect: 1, Ineligible: 5

Renewals

Correct

The 100, Hart of Dixie

Incorrect

Beauty and the Beast

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

Arrow, The Originals, Reign, Supernatural, The Vampire Diaries

Cancellations

Correct

The Carrie Diaries, Star-Crossed, The Tomorrow People

FOX - Correct: 8, Incorrect: 2, Ineligible: 7

Renewals

Correct

Brooklyn Nine-Nine, New Girl

Incorrect

The Following, The Mindy Project

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

Bob's Burgers, Bones, Family Guy, Glee, Sleepy Hollow, The Simpsons

Cancellations

Correct

Almost Human, Dads, Enlisted, Raising Hope, Rake, Surviving Jack

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

American Dad (Moving to TBS)

NBC - Correct: 11, Incorrect: 2, Ineligible: 5

Renewals

Correct

About a Boy, Chicago Fire, Chicago P.D., Grimm, Hannibal
Law & Order: SVU, Parenthood, Parks and Recreation

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

The Blacklist

Cancellations

Correct

Believe, Crisis, Dracula, Revolution

Incorrect

Community, Growing Up Fisher

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

Ironside, The Michael J. Fox Show, Sean Saves the World, Welcome to the Family

Overall Stats - Correct: 60, Incorrect: 9, Ineligible: 24

Final Accuracy Rate: 87%