Primetime Ratings, Tuesday, 2/25/14

Person of Interest

NBC won the 18-49 demo race, while CBS drew the most total viewers.

'The Voice' had a bad night, plunging down a full point to a 3.7. Still, most shows would kill for a 3.7, so it's not exactly a death sentence. In a great sign for their futures, new comedies 'About A Boy' and 'Growing Up Fisher' did almost exactly the same ratings for their timeslot premieres as they did in the coveted post-Olympics slot. 'Chicago Fire' ended NBC's night by matching its last original episode's 1.8.

CBS' Tuesday drama line-up returned way down, hitting uncharacteristic lows. 'NCIS' fell half a point to a new season low of 2.6. 'NCIS: LA' dropped half a point as well, posting a 2.3. 'Person of Interest' wrapped things up by dipping four tenths to a 1.8.

A special Tuesday airing of 'The Bachelor' earned a 2.5 for ABC, matching last night. New Christian Slater-fronted dramedy 'Mind Games' premiered really soft a 10 p.m., earning a 1.1. To put that in perspective, the debut of quickly canceled drama 'Zero Hour' earned a 1.4 in the same slot last year.

'Glee's move to Tuesdays may end up working out, as it rose a tenth to a 1.2. 'New Girl' followed that up by rising a tenth to a 1.4. 'Brooklyn Nine-Nine' rose (you guessed it) a single tenth to a 1.3. As for The CW, 'The Originals' returned slightly down, although not to a noticeable degree. The 'Vampire Diaries' spin-off dipped one tenth to a 0.8. Lead-out 'Supernatural' did a bit better, matching the 1.0 it's last new outing drew.

Key: Broadcast Network - Show Name - 18-49 Rating - 18-49 Share - Total Viewers In Millions

8PM

NBC - The Voice (N) - 3.7 - 11 - 13.04

CBS - NCIS (N) - 2.6 - 8 - 17.03

ABC - The Bachelor (N) - 2.5 - 7 - 8.13

FOX - Glee (N) - 1.2 - 3 - 2.99

CW - The Originals (N) - 0.8 - 2 - 1.83

9PM

CBS - NCIS: Los Angeles (N) - 2.3 - 6 - 13.15

NBC - About A Boy (Timeslot Premiere) - 2.3 - 6 - 8.08

FOX - New Girl (N) - 1.4 - 4 - 2.84

CW - Supernatural (N) - 1.0 - 3 - 2.12

9:30PM

NBC - Growing Up Fisher (Timeslot Premiere) - 2.0 - 5 - 7.05

FOX - Brooklyn Nine-Nine (N) - 1.3 - 3 - 2.66

10PM

CBS - Person of Interest (N) - 1.8 - 5 - 11.00

NBC - Chicago Fire (N) - 1.8 - 5 - 7.06

ABC - Mind Games (Series Premiere) - 1.1 - 3 - 3.58

Source: Nielsen Media Research

Hi, everyone. This is usually where these posts end, isn't it? Well, not anymore, at least for now. Why? Well, the longer I've spent tracking the ratings trends for TVRage, the more I think I've got a decent handle on which shows are likely to get canceled or renewed.

With that said, I'm about to put that theory to the test. Presented below are my "official" predictions for what will happen to Tuesday's top scripted series. Reality programs are excluded.

PRIMETIME PROGNOSTICATION

Note: The five main factors I consider when making a prediction are thus:

1. Does the show win its timeslot, and how often? (CW shows are exempt from this criteria.)

2. How do the show's ratings compare to similar programs on the same network? (Self explanatory.)

3. How long has the show been on the air? (Veteran series are always more likely to get renewed.)

4. Does the show have any high-profile leads? (Never discount star power.)

5. How much does the show cost to make? (Approximately, exact TV budgets are hard to come by.)