Primetime Ratings, Friday, 4/18/14

 

 

ABC picked up the 18-49 demo win, while CBS drew the most total viewers.

'Last Man Standing' matched its previous series low of 1.2, but it hardly matters at this late juncture. The show is no doubt getting a fourth season. 'Shark Tank' dropped one tenth to a 1.7. '20/20' shot up three tenths to a 1.8, topping the night in all measures.

CBS' 'Unforgettable' shed the single tenth it gained last week, returning to the 0.9 its midseason return earned. FOX got some bad news, as 'Kitchen Nightmares' first new episode of the week dropped two tenths to a 1.0, while a second episode fell even further to a 0.9. Still, that's at least a lot better than the numbers 'Rake,' 'Raising Hope,' and 'Enlisted' were putting up.

NBC's 'Dateline' rose a tenth to a 1.2. 'Hannibal' bumped up a single tenth to a 0.8, helping its renewal cause a little. Interestingly, a pattern seems to be emerging here. The few times 'Hannibal' has aired behind 'Dateline,' its numbers have increased, only to drop again when 'Grimm' returns. It's possible there just isn't enough crossover between the 'Grimm' and 'Hannibal' audiences for the former to be a good lead-in to the latter.

Finally, The CW's week from hell continued, with 'Whose Line Is It Anyway' matching last week's 0.4, and 'Hart of Dixie' matching last week's 0.3. This marks the only week this season where no CW show has managed to draw a 0.8 or above.

Key: Broadcast Network - Show Name - 18-49 Rating - 18-49 Share - Total Viewers In Millions

8PM

ABC - Last Man Standing (N) - 1.2 - 5 - 5.39

FOX - Kitchen Nightmares (N) - 1.0 - 4 - 2.99

CBS - Unforgettable (N) - 0.9 - 4 - 7.17

NBC - Dateline (R) - 0.9 - 4 - 5.24

CW - Whose Line is it Anyway? (N) - 0.4 - 2 - 1.36

8:30PM

ABC - Last Man Standing (R) - 0.8 - 3 - 4.09

CW - Whose Line is it Anyway? (R) - 0.4 - 2 - 1.26

9PM

ABC - Shark Tank (N) - 1.7 - 6 - 6.77

NBC - Dateline (N) - 1.2 - 4 - 6.47

FOX - Kitchen Nightmares (N) - 0.9 - 3 - 2.56

CBS - Hawaii Five-0 (R) - 0.7 - 3 - 6.45

CW - Hart of Dixie (N) - 0.3 - 1 - 0.80

10PM

ABC - 20/20 (N) - 1.8 - 6 - 8.43

CBS - Blue Bloods (R) - 0.9 - 3 - 8.54

NBC - Hannibal (N) - 0.8 - 3 - 2.80

Source: Nielsen Media Research

PRIMETIME PROGNOSTICATION

The five main factors I consider when making a prediction are thus:

1. Does the show win its timeslot, and how often? (CW shows are exempt from this criteria.)

2. How do the show's ratings compare to similar programs on the same network? (Self explanatory.)

3. How long has the show been on the air? (Veteran series are always more likely to get renewed.)

4. Does the show have any high-profile leads? (Never discount star power.)

5. How much does the show cost to make? (Approximately, exact TV budgets are hard to come by.)

Note: Ratings expectations for shows airing on Friday night are generally lower.

Last Man Standing - Guaranteed Renewal

The Neighbors - Guaranteed Cancellation

Unforgettable - Already Renewed

Hawaii Five-0 - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

Blue Bloods - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

Hart of Dixie - Likely Renewal

The Carrie Diaries - Guaranteed Cancellation

Rake - Guaranteed Cancellation

Enlisted - Guaranteed Cancellation

Raising Hope - Guaranteed Cancellation Canceled 3/10/14 *Correct Prediction

Grimm - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/19/14 *Correct Prediction

Hannibal - Likely Renewal

Dracula - Guaranteed Cancellation

Prediction Stats

Shows correctly predicted (so far) - 22
ABC - Mind Games, Once Upon a Time in Wonderland
CBS - 2 Broke Girls, The Big Bang Theory, Blue Bloods, Criminal Minds, CSI, Elementary, The Good Wife, Hawaii Five-0, The Millers, NCIS, NCIS: Los Angeles, Person of Interest, Two and a Half Men
FOX - Brooklyn Nine-Nine, New Girl, Raising Hope
NBC - Chicago Fire, Chicago P.D., Grimm, Parks and Recreation

Shows incorrectly predicted (so far) - 3 - The Following, The Mindy Project, Mom

Current accuracy rate: 88%