ABC and CBS split the Sunday victory.
'America's Funniest Home Videos' began the night by jumping up three tenths to a 1.6. 'Once Upon a Time' did its lead-in two better, rocketing up five tenths to a 2.2. Unfortunately, the large rises stopped there, with 'Resurrection's penultimate installment falling two tenths to a new series low of 1.9. Still, I remain convinced it'll get a second season. 'Revenge' matched its last new outing's 1.3.
'60 Minutes' started things off for the Eye by rising two tenths to a 1.3. 'The Amazing Race' continued the gains by bumping up two tenths to a 1.9. 'The Good Wife' matched last week's 1.3. 'The Mentalist' fell two tenths to a 1.2, tying its previous series low.
Shockingly, 'Bob's Burgers' shot up half a point to a 1.1 for FOX. 'American Dad' rose a tenth to a 1.2. Conversely, 'The Simpsons' dropped a tenth to a 1.6. The ever consistent 'Family Guy' matched last week's 2.1. 'Cosmos' seems to have hit its ratings floor, matching last week's 1.4.
Over on the Peacock, 'American Dream Builders' rose one tenth to a 0.6. 'Dateline' topped that, rising two tenths to a 1.0. 'Believe' dipped a tenth to a 1.0, and is getting closer and closer to the ax. 'Crisis' climbed up a single tenth, also earning a 1.0.
Oh, one more thing. With us being less than a month out from the network upfronts, I'm going to be changing most of my "likely" renewals or cancellations to "guaranteed" ones soon. To that end, one CBS show has been downgraded below.
Key: Broadcast Network - Show Name - 18-49 Rating - 18-49 Share - Total Viewers In Millions
ABC - America's Funniest Home Videos (N) - 1.6 - 6 - 6.76
CBS - 60 Minutes (N) - 1.3 - 5 - 10.43
FOX - Bob's Burgers (N) - 1.1 - 4 - 2.26
NBC - American Dream Builders (N) - 0.6 - 2 - 2.57
FOX - American Dad (N) - 1.2 - 4 - 2.40
ABC - Once Upon a Time (N) - 2.2 - 6 - 7.34
CBS - The Amazing Race (N) - 1.9 - 6 - 8.45
FOX - The Simpsons (N) - 1.6 - 5 - 3.45
NBC - Dateline (N) - 1.0 - 3 - 5.78
FOX - Family Guy (N) - 2.1 - 6 - 4.02
ABC - Resurrection (N) - 1.9 - 5 - 7.85
FOX - Cosmos: A Spacetime Odyssey (N) - 1.4 - 4 - 3.66
CBS - The Good Wife (N) - 1.3 - 3 - 9.33
NBC - Believe (N) - 1.0 - 3 - 4.51
ABC - Revenge (N) - 1.3 - 4 - 5.19
CBS - The Mentalist (N) - 1.2 - 3 - 8.63
NBC - Crisis (N) - 1.0 - 3 - 4.01
Source: Nielsen Media Research
The five main factors I consider when making a prediction are thus:
1. Does the show win its timeslot, and how often? (CW shows are exempt from this criteria.)
2. How do the show's ratings compare to similar programs on the same network? (Self explanatory.)
3. How long has the show been on the air? (Veteran series are always more likely to get renewed.)
4. Does the show have any high-profile leads? (Never discount star power.)
5. How much does the show cost to make? (Approximately, exact TV budgets are hard to come by.)
Newly updated predictions are in bold.
Once Upon a Time - Guaranteed Renewal
Resurrection - Guaranteed Renewal
Revenge - Guaranteed Renewal
The Good Wife - Likely Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction
The Mentalist - Guaranteed Cancellation
No Scripted Programming Available
The Simpsons - Already Renewed
Bob's Burgers - Already Renewed
Family Guy - Already Renewed
American Dad - Already Renewed (by TBS)
Believe - Guaranteed Cancellation
Crisis - Guaranteed Cancellation
Shows correctly predicted - 22
ABC - Mind Games (C), Once Upon a Time in Wonderland (C)
CBS - 2 Broke Girls (R), The Big Bang Theory (R), Blue Bloods (R), Criminal Minds (R), CSI (R) Elementary (R), The Good Wife (R), Hawaii Five-0 (R), The Millers (R), NCIS (R) NCIS: Los Angeles (R), Person of Interest (R), Two and a Half Men (R)
FOX - Brooklyn Nine-Nine (R), New Girl (R), Raising Hope (C)
NBC - Chicago Fire (R), Chicago P.D. (R), Grimm (R), Parks and Recreation (R)
Shows incorrectly predicted - 3 - The Following (R), The Mindy Project (R), Mom (R)
Current accuracy rate: 88%
Shows that were renewed or canceled prior to 'Primetime Prognostication's debut - 21
ABC - The Assets (C), Back in the Game (C), Betrayal (C), Killer Women (C), Lucky 7 (C)
CBS - Unforgettable (R), We Are Men (C)
CW - Arrow (R), The Originals (R), Reign (R), Supernatural (R), The Vampire Diaries (R)
FOX - American Dad (C by FOX, R by TBS), Bob's Burgers (R), Bones (R), Family Guy (R), Glee (R), Sleepy Hollow (R), The Simpsons (R)
NBC - The Blacklist (R), Ironside (C), The Michael J. Fox Show (C), Sean Saves the World (C), Welcome to the Family (C)