Primetime Ratings, Monday, 4/28/14

 

 

NBC won the 18-49 demo race, while ABC drew in the most total viewers.

Despite the Peacock's demo win, 'The Voice' matched last week's all-time Monday low of 3.0. Lead-out 'The Blacklist' continued to remain largely unaffected by that, dipping a single tenth to a 2.7, and easily topping the night in scripted ratings.

'Dancing with the Stars' rocketed up four tenths to a 2.6 for ABC, tying the veteran reality program's previous season high. 'Castle' also rose, bumping up two tenths to a 2.0. '2 Broke Girls' started off CBS' night by rising two tenths to a 2.3.

'Friends with Better Lives' showed unexpected signs of life, rising two tenths to a 1.9. If it builds on or at least maintains that number next week, I'm flipping it back to a likely renewal. 'Mike & Molly' shot up three tenths to a 2.2, finishing off an all-around good night for the Eye.

The season finale of sophomore FOX drama 'The Following' finally earned something other than a 1.4 again, rising one tenth to a 1.5. That's not amazing, but it's better than being stagnant. As for The CW, 'Star-Crossed' stayed put at its eternal 0.3. 'The Tomorrow People' rose a tenth to a 0.4.

Key: Broadcast Network - Show Name - 18-49 Rating - 18-49 Share - Total Viewers In Millions

8PM

NBC - The Voice (N) - 3.0 - 8 - 11.58

ABC - Dancing with the Stars (N) - 2.6 - 7 - 15.88

CBS - 2 Broke Girls (N) - 2.3 - 7 - 7.76

FOX - Bones (R) - 0.9 - 3 - 3.99

CW - Star-Crossed (N) - 0.3 - 1 - 0.83

8:30PM

CBS - Friends with Better Lives (N) - 1.9 - 6 - 6.11

9PM

CBS - Mike & Molly (N) - 2.2 - 6 - 7.60

FOX - The Following (Season Finale) - 1.5 - 4 - 4.81

CW - The Tomorrow People (N) - 0.4 - 1 - 0.93

9:30PM

CBS - The Big Bang Theory (R) - 1.7 - 4 - 6.25

10PM

NBC - The Blacklist (N) - 2.7 - 8 - 10.85

ABC - Castle (N) - 2.0 - 6 - 10.39

CBS - Person of Interest (R) - 0.8 - 2 - 4.32

Source: Nielsen Media Research

PRIMETIME PROGNOSTICATION

The five main factors I consider when making a prediction are thus:

1. Does the show win its timeslot, and how often? (CW shows are exempt from this criteria.)

2. How do the show's ratings compare to similar programs on the same network? (Self explanatory.)

3. How long has the show been on the air? (Veteran series are always more likely to get renewed.)

4. Does the show have any high-profile leads? (Never discount star power.)

5. How much does the show cost to make? (Approximately, exact TV budgets are hard to come by.)

Newly updated predictions are in bold.

Castle - Guaranteed Renewal

2 Broke Girls - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

Friends with Better Lives - Likely Cancellation

Mike & Molly - Likely Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

Mom - Likely Cancellation Renewed 3/13/14 *Incorrect Prediction

Intelligence - Guaranteed Cancellation

Hostages - Guaranteed Cancellation

Star-Crossed - Guaranteed Cancellation

Beauty and the Beast - Guaranteed Cancellation

The Tomorrow People - Guaranteed Cancellation

Bones - Already Renewed

Almost Human - Guaranteed Cancellation Canceled 4/29/14 *Correct Prediction

The Following - Likely Cancellation Renewed 3/7/14 *Incorrect Prediction

The Blacklist - Already Renewed

Prediction Stats

Shows correctly predicted - 23
ABC - Mind Games (C), Once Upon a Time in Wonderland (C)
CBS - 2 Broke Girls (R), The Big Bang Theory (R), Blue Bloods (R), Criminal Minds (R), CSI (R) Elementary (R), The Good Wife (R), Hawaii Five-0 (R), The Millers (R), NCIS (R)                          NCIS: Los Angeles (R), Person of Interest (R), Two and a Half Men (R)
FOX - Almost Human (C), Brooklyn Nine-Nine (R), New Girl (R), Raising Hope (C)
NBC - Chicago Fire (R), Chicago P.D. (R), Grimm (R), Parks and Recreation (R)

Shows incorrectly predicted - 3 - The Following (R), The Mindy Project (R),  Mom (R)

Current accuracy rate: 88%

Shows that were renewed or canceled prior to 'Primetime Prognostication's debut - 21
ABC - The Assets (C), Back in the Game (C), Killer Women (C), Lucky 7 (C)
CBS - Unforgettable (R), We Are Men (C)
CW - Arrow (R), The Originals (R), Reign (R), Supernatural (R), The Vampire Diaries (R)
FOX - American Dad (C by FOX, R by TBS), Bob's Burgers (R), Bones (R), Glee (R), Sleepy Hollow (R), The Simpsons (R)
NBC - The Blacklist (R), Ironside (C), The Michael J. Fox Show (C), Sean Saves the World (C), Welcome to the Family (C)