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Primetime Ratings, Tuesday, 4/29/14



CBS won Tuesday night in all measures.

'NCIS' started off the Eye's night by jumping up three tenths to a 2.5. 'NCIS: LA' stayed flat with its last original outing's 2.1. 'Person of Interest' rose a single tenth to a 1.9. Moving on to the Peacock, 'The Voice' set a new series low of 2.7, although it still topped the night in the 18-49 demo.

'About a Boy' fell three tenths to a 1.6, a new series low. It's still the third highest rated scripted show on NBC though, and is thus in no real danger. Lead-out 'Growing Up Fisher' dropped a tenth to a 1.4, but is still fairly safe from the ax. 'Chicago Fire' rose a tenth to a 1.8.

'Marvel's Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.' rose two tenths to a 2.1 for ABC. 'The Goldbergs' seems intent on getting renewed, rising three tenths to a 1.7. Doomed sitcom 'Trophy Wife' mounted a last-ditch rally, rising two tenths to a 1.0. 'Celebrity Wife Swap' continues to crumble, dipping a tenth to a 0.8.

Speaking of crumbling, FOX's 'Glee' once again matched its previous series low of 0.9. Ouch. 'New Girl' followed that by setting its own new series low of 1.1. Double ouch. 'The Mindy Project' did rise a tenth to a 1.1, but that's hardly anything to boast about.

As for The CW, 'The Originals' finally starting pulling out of its tailspin, increasing two tenths to a 0.8. 'Supernatural' capitalized on the interest surrounding the planted pilot for its spin-off 'Bloodlines,' rising a tenth to a 1.0. However, one has to wonder whether the spin-off will even go forward now, after the decidedly mixed reaction the episode received from fans.

Key: Broadcast Network - Show Name - 18-49 Rating - 18-49 Share - Total Viewers In Millions


NBC - The Voice (N) - 2.7 - 8 - 11.18

CBS - NCIS (N) - 2.5 - 8 - 17.25

ABC - Marvel's Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. (N) - 2.1 - 6 - 5.95

FOX - Glee (N) - 0.9 - 3 - 2.41

CW - The Originals (N) - 0.8 - 3 - 1.77


CBS - NCIS: Los Angeles (N) - 2.1 - 6 - 14.83

ABC - The Goldbergs (N) - 1.7 - 5 - 4.81

NBC - About A Boy (N) - 1.6 - 5 - 6.25

FOX - New Girl (N) - 1.1 - 3 - 2.20

CW - Supernatural (N) - 1.0 - 3 - 2.03


NBC - Growing Up Fisher (N) - 1.4 - 4 - 5.59

FOX - The Mindy Project (N) - 1.1 - 3 - 2.20

ABC - Trophy Wife (N) - 1.0 - 3 - 3.16


CBS - Person of Interest (N) - 1.9 - 6 - 11.31

NBC - Chicago Fire (N) - 1.8 - 5 - 7.06

ABC - Celebrity Wife Swap (N) - 0.8 - 2 - 2.82

Source: Nielsen Media Research


The five main factors I consider when making a prediction are thus:

1. Does the show win its timeslot, and how often? (CW shows are exempt from this criteria.)

2. How do the show's ratings compare to similar programs on the same network? (Self explanatory.)

3. How long has the show been on the air? (Veteran series are always more likely to get renewed.)

4. Does the show have any high-profile leads? (Never discount star power.)

5. How much does the show cost to make? (Approximately, exact TV budgets are hard to come by.)


Marvel's Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. - Guaranteed Renewal

The Goldbergs - Guaranteed Renewal

Trophy Wife - Guaranteed Cancellation

Mind Games - Guaranteed Cancellation Canceled 3/27/14 *Correct Prediction


NCIS - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

NCIS: Los Angeles - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

Person of Interest - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

The CW

The Originals - Already Renewed

Supernatural - Already Renewed


Glee - Already Renewed

New Girl - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/7/14 *Correct Prediction

Brookyln Nine-Nine - Likely Renewal Renewed 3/7/14 *Correct Prediction

The Mindy Project - Likely Cancellation Renewed 3/7/14 *Incorrect Prediction

Dads - Guaranteed Cancellation


About A Boy - Guaranteed Renewal

Growing Up Fisher - Guaranteed Renewal

Chicago Fire - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/19/14 *Correct Prediction

Prediction Stats

Shows correctly predicted - 23
ABC - Mind Games (C), Once Upon a Time in Wonderland (C)
CBS - 2 Broke Girls (R), The Big Bang Theory (R), Blue Bloods (R), Criminal Minds (R), CSI (R) Elementary (R), The Good Wife (R), Hawaii Five-0 (R), The Millers (R), NCIS (R)                          NCIS: Los Angeles (R), Person of Interest (R), Two and a Half Men (R)
FOX - Almost Human (C), Brooklyn Nine-Nine (R), New Girl (R), Raising Hope (C)
NBC - Chicago Fire (R), Chicago P.D. (R), Grimm (R), Parks and Recreation (R)

Shows incorrectly predicted - 3 - The Following (R), The Mindy Project (R),  Mom (R)

Current accuracy rate: 88%

Shows that were renewed or canceled prior to 'Primetime Prognostication's debut - 21
ABC - The Assets (C), Back in the Game (C), Killer Women (C), Lucky 7 (C)
CBS - Unforgettable (R), We Are Men (C)
CW - Arrow (R), The Originals (R), Reign (R), Supernatural (R), The Vampire Diaries (R)
FOX - American Dad (C by FOX, R by TBS), Bob's Burgers (R), Bones (R), Glee (R), Sleepy Hollow (R), The Simpsons (R)
NBC - The Blacklist (R), Ironside (C), The Michael J. Fox Show (C), Sean Saves the World (C), Welcome to the Family (C)

- CW

Written by: Michael Stevenson
Apr 30th, 2014, 7:56 am

Images courtesy of The CW


Message Posted On May 1st, 2014, 1:47 am
Hi there! I guess the crumbling ratings of "The Originals" had to do with Claire Holt leaving the cast. I have watched all episodes so far and can clearly say that she left a huge gap that will be very hard to compensate for. Anyway, thanks for the amazing work you're doing here! I check your ratings on a daily basis and agree with most of your predictions! I had been looking for such a great overview for quite some time and now it seems that I finally got what I was looking for :) The only prediction I disagree with is "The Tommorow People" - don't forget that Robbie Amell, protagonist of TTP, is the brother of Stephen Amell a.k.a. Arrow ;) I admit that it might be wishful thinking, but one should never underestimate the influence of Vitamine C ^^ Greetings from Germany! Seducus

Level 2 (3%)
Since: 20/Feb/08
Message Posted On Apr 30th, 2014, 10:25 pm

Thanks for adding the Cs and Rs. Much appreciated.

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