Primetime Ratings, Thursday, 5/15/14

 

 

CBS won Thursday night in all measures.

The season finale of 'The Big Bang Theory' rocketed up over a full point to a 4.9, up a tenth from last year's final demo. The total audience of 16.7 million viewers is also the largest for a finale in 'TBBT' history. 'The Millers' season finale also rose, jumping up four tenths to a 2.3. Now canceled sitcom 'Bad Teacher' rose a single tenth to a 1.4. Conversely, the season finale of 'Elementary' dipped a tenth to a new series low of 1.4. That's down a whopping six tenths from 2013's season capper.

FOX's 'Hell's Kitchen' bumped up two tenths to a 1.7. 'American Idol' is improving as it enters its home stretch, rising four tenths to a 2.0. Disappointingly, the heavily hyped season finale of ABC's 'Grey's Anatomy' rose only a single tenth to a 2.6, down considerably from the 3.1 last year's denouement earned. 'Black Box' dipped yet again, this time to a 1.1.

'Hollywood Game Night' rose two tenths to a 1.1 for NBC. Night two of the Peacock's 'Rosemary's Baby' miniseries failed to impress, falling a tenth to a 1.0. As for The CW, the season finale of 'The Vampire Diaries' increased a single tenth to a 0.8, coming up short of the 1.1. last year's climax earned. The season finale of 'Reign' actually dropped a tenth to a 0.4.

Key: Broadcast Network - Show Name - 18-49 Rating - 18-49 Share - Total Viewers In Millions

8PM

CBS - The Big Bang Theory (Season Finale) - 4.9 - 18 - 16.73

FOX - Hell's Kitchen (N) - 1.7 - 6 - 4.86

NBC - Hollywood Game Night (N) - 1.1 - 4 - 3.72

CW -  The Vampire Diaries (Season Finale) - 0.8 - 3 - 1.61

ABC - Grey's Anatomy (R) - 0.7 - 2 - 3.65

8:30PM

CBS - The Millers (Season Finale) - 2.3 - 8 - 9.78

9PM

ABC - Grey's Anatomy (Season Finale) - 2.6 - 8 - 8.92

FOX - American Idol (N) - 2.0 - 6 - 8.67

CBS - Two and a Half Men (R) - 1.7 - 5 - 7.32

NBC - Rosemary's Baby (N) - 1.0 - 3 - 3.26

CW - Reign (Season Finale) - 0.4 - 1 - 1.24

9:30PM

CBS - Bad Teacher (N) - 1.4 - 4 - 5.48

10PM

CBS - Elementary (Season Finale) - 1.4 - 5 - 7.37

ABC - Black Box (N) - 1.1 - 4 - 4.31

Source: Nielsen Media Research

PRIMETIME PROGNOSTICATION

Brace yourself faithful readers, as Primetime Prognostication is about to do some house cleaning. With cancellation/renewal decisions for every scripted broadcast network show now in, every show that has already aired all its episodes for this season is being removed from its network's respective section, to make room for soon to premiere summer series.

As further shows end their seasons, they too will be removed from their corresponding sections. I've also cleaned up and updated my final prediction stats chart for the 2013-2014 TV season, which can be viewed at the bottom. That will stay put until the end of May. I will continue to make predictions for all scripted summer programs, and start the whole thing over in the fall.

The five main factors I consider when making a prediction are thus:

1. Does the show win its timeslot, and how often? (CW shows are exempt from this criteria.)

2. How do the show's ratings compare to similar programs on the same network? (Self explanatory.)

3. How long has the show been on the air? (Veteran series are always more likely to get renewed.)

4. Does the show have any high-profile leads? (Never discount star power.)

5. How much does the show cost to make? (Approximately, exact TV budgets are hard to come by.)

Grey's Anatomy - Renewed (Correctly Predicted) Season Finale: 5/15/14

Black Box - Cancellation Predicted

The Big Bang Theory - Renewed (Correctly Predicted) Season Finale: 5/15/14

The Millers - Renewed (Correctly Predicted) Season Finale: 5/15/14

Bad Teacher - Canceled (Correctly Predicted) Series Finale: 7/17/14

Elementary - Renewed (Correctly Predicted) Season Finale: 5/15/14

The Vampire Diaries - Renewed (No Prediction Made) Season Finale: 5/15/14

Reign - Renewed (No Prediction Made) Season Finale: 5/15/14

Scripted Programming Returns 5/22/14

Scripted Programming Returns 5/29/14

Final 2013-2014 Season Prediction Stats

ABC - Correct: 17, Incorrect: 2, Ineligible: 5

Renewals

Correct

Castle, The Goldbergs, Grey's Anatomy, Last Man Standing, Marvel's Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.
The Middle, Modern Family, Once Upon a Time, Resurrection, Revenge, Scandal

Incorrect

Nashville

Cancellations

Correct

Mind Games, Mixology, The Neighbors, OUaT in Wonderland, Super Fun Night, Trophy Wife

Incorrect

Suburgatory

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

The Assets, Back in the Game, Betrayal, Killer Women, Lucky 7

CBS - Correct: 18, Incorrect: 2, Ineligible: 2

Renewals

Correct

2 Broke Girls, The Big Bang Theory, Blue Bloods, Criminal Minds, CSI, Elementary, The Good Wife
Hawaii Five-0, The Millers, NCIS, NCIS: Los Angeles, Person of Interest, Two and a Half Men

Incorrect

The Mentalist, Mom

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

Unforgettable

Cancellations

Correct

Bad Teacher, The Crazy Ones, Friends with Better Lives, Hostages, Intelligence

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

We Are Men

CW - Correct: 5, Incorrect: 1, Ineligible: 5

Renewals

Correct

The 100, Hart of Dixie

Incorrect

Beauty and the Beast

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

Arrow, The Originals, Reign, Supernatural, The Vampire Diaries

Cancellations

Correct

The Carrie Diaries, Star-Crossed, The Tomorrow People

FOX - Correct: 8, Incorrect: 2, Ineligible: 7

Renewals

Correct

Brooklyn Nine-Nine, New Girl

Incorrect

The Following, The Mindy Project

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

Bob's Burgers, Bones, Family Guy, Glee, Sleepy Hollow, The Simpsons

Cancellations

Correct

Almost Human, Dads, Enlisted, Raising Hope, Rake, Surviving Jack

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

American Dad (Moving to TBS)

NBC - Correct: 11, Incorrect: 2, Ineligible: 5

Renewals

Correct

About a Boy, Chicago Fire, Chicago P.D., Grimm, Hannibal
Law & Order: SVU, Parenthood, Parks and Recreation

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

The Blacklist

Cancellations

Correct

Believe, Crisis, Dracula, Revolution

Incorrect

Community, Growing Up Fisher

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

Ironside, The Michael J. Fox Show, Sean Saves the World, Welcome to the Family

Overall Stats - Correct: 60, Incorrect: 9, Ineligible: 24

Final Accuracy Rate: 87%