Primetime Ratings, Tuesday, 5/27/14

 

 

NBC won Tuesday in all measures.

The season premiere of 'America's Got Talent' bowed to a 3.0, down just slightly from the 3.1 earned by last summer's premiere. Despite the small drop, that 3.0 represents 'AGT's lowest rated premiere in series history. The series premiere of new medical drama 'The Night Shift' posted a very respectable (for an "off-season" debut) 1.6. The Peacock is surely pleased.

ABC's 'Extreme Weight Loss' began its latest season to the tune of a 1.3, up a single tenth from the 1.2 scored by last year's season opener. Now free of more formidable "in-season" competition, 'Celebrity Wife Swap' bumped up three tenths to a 1.2, easily a season high.

The second episode of FOX's improv game show 'Riot' rose a tenth to a 0.6, and continues to cement its place as certain ax fodder. Weak two of hyped up reality series 'I Wanna Marry Harry' jumped off a cliff, falling three tenths to a 0.4. The desperate constestants on this show may want to 'Marry Harry,' but America at large obviously doesn't want to watch him.

Key: Broadcast Network - Show Name - 18-49 Rating - 18-49 Share - Total Viewers In Millions

8PM

NBC - America's Got Talent (Season Premiere) - 3.0 - 9 - 12.00

CBS - NCIS (R) - 1.3 - 4 - 9.30

ABC - Extreme Weight Loss (Season Premiere) - 1.3 - 4 - 4.02

FOX - Riot (N) - 0.6 - 2 - 1.36

CW - The Originals (R) - 0.2 - 1 - 0.66

9PM

CBS - NCIS: Los Angeles (R) - 1.1 - 3 - 7.88

FOX - I Wanna Marry Harry (N) - 0.4 - 1 - 1.14

CW - Supernatural (R) - 0.3 - 1 - 0.82

10PM

NBC - The Night Shift (Series Premiere) - 1.6 - 5 - 7.67

ABC - Celebrity Wife Swap (N) - 1.2 - 4 - 3.86

CBS - Person of Interest (R) - 0.8 - 2 - 5.23

Source: Nielsen Media Research

PRIMETIME PROGNOSTICATION

The five main factors I consider when making a prediction are thus:

1. Does the show win its timeslot, and how often? (CW shows are exempt from this criteria.)

2. How do the show's ratings compare to similar programs on the same network? (Self explanatory.)

3. How long has the show been on the air? (Veteran series are always more likely to get renewed.)

4. Does the show have any high-profile leads? (Never discount star power.)

5. How much does the show cost to make? (Approximately, exact TV budgets are hard to come by.)

The Night Shift - Too Soon to Tell

Final 2013-2014 Season Prediction Stats

ABC - Correct: 17, Incorrect: 2, Ineligible: 5

Renewals

Correct

Castle, The Goldbergs, Grey's Anatomy, Last Man Standing, Marvel's Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.
The Middle, Modern Family, Once Upon a Time, Resurrection, Revenge, Scandal

Incorrect

Nashville

Cancellations

Correct

Mind Games, Mixology, The Neighbors, OUaT in Wonderland, Super Fun Night, Trophy Wife

Incorrect

Suburgatory

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

The Assets, Back in the Game, Betrayal, Killer Women, Lucky 7

CBS - Correct: 18, Incorrect: 2, Ineligible: 2

Renewals

Correct

2 Broke Girls, The Big Bang Theory, Blue Bloods, Criminal Minds, CSI, Elementary, The Good Wife
Hawaii Five-0, The Millers, NCIS, NCIS: Los Angeles, Person of Interest, Two and a Half Men

Incorrect

The Mentalist, Mom

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

Unforgettable

Cancellations

Correct

Bad Teacher, The Crazy Ones, Friends with Better Lives, Hostages, Intelligence

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

We Are Men

CW - Correct: 5, Incorrect: 1, Ineligible: 5

Renewals

Correct

The 100, Hart of Dixie

Incorrect

Beauty and the Beast

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

Arrow, The Originals, Reign, Supernatural, The Vampire Diaries

Cancellations

Correct

The Carrie Diaries, Star-Crossed, The Tomorrow People

FOX - Correct: 8, Incorrect: 2, Ineligible: 7

Renewals

Correct

Brooklyn Nine-Nine, New Girl

Incorrect

The Following, The Mindy Project

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

Bob's Burgers, Bones, Family Guy, Glee, Sleepy Hollow, The Simpsons

Cancellations

Correct

Almost Human, Dads, Enlisted, Raising Hope, Rake, Surviving Jack

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

American Dad (Moving to TBS)

NBC - Correct: 11, Incorrect: 2, Ineligible: 5

Renewals

Correct

About a Boy, Chicago Fire, Chicago P.D., Grimm, Hannibal
Law & Order: SVU, Parenthood, Parks and Recreation

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

The Blacklist

Cancellations

Correct

Believe, Crisis, Dracula, Revolution

Incorrect

Community, Growing Up Fisher

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

Ironside, The Michael J. Fox Show, Sean Saves the World, Welcome to the Family

Overall Stats - Correct: 60, Incorrect: 9, Ineligible: 24

Final Accuracy Rate: 87%