ABC won the night in the 18-49 demo, while CBS drew more total viewers.
The midseason return of 'Once Upon a Time' shot up five tenths to a 2.4, its highest rating since back in October. Kinda, sorta, zombie drama 'Resurrection' premiered extremely well, earning a 3.8, and overtaking even 'Modern Family' to claim the title of ABC's highest rated scripted series of the week. Of course, the real test is just how far the show falls in week two. No doubt boosted by the better than average lead-in, 'Revenge' rocketed up six tenths to to a 1.9.
Over on FOX, 'Bob's Burgers' (which aired outside of its usual timeslot) plunged down six tenths to a 0.9. Back-to-back episodes of 'The Simpsons' both failed to impress. The first (airing at 7:30) managed only a 1.2. The second (airing in its usual 8 p.m. timeslot) did slightly better, earning a 1.6. It's been a long, long time since a new 'Simpsons' only drew a 1.2. 'Family Guy' was completely unfazed though, rising two tenths to a 2.2.
The big premiere of the Seth McFarlane produced, Neil DeGrasse Tyson hosted sequel series 'Cosmos: A Spacetime Oddity' did pretty well for FOX, garnering a 2.1 demo and nearly 6 million viewers. It's a much bigger success when you factor in the nine other networks 'Cosmos' simultaneously aired on. Adding them all together bumps the 18-49 rating up to a 2.9, and the total viewer count to 8.5 million.
'60 Minutes' rose a tenth for CBS, posting a 1.5. 'The Amazing Race' recovered nicely from last week's series low, rising four tenths to a 1.9. 'The Good Wife' wasn't so lucky, falling half a point to a 1.3. 'The Mentalist' also took a hit, but not as hard of one. It dropped two tenths to a 1.6. Finally, 'Dateline' returned to the tune of a 1.1 for NBC.
Key: Broadcast Network - Show Name - 18-49 Rating - 18-49 Share - Total Viewers In Millions
CBS - 60 Minutes (N) - 1.5 - 5 - 10.73
ABC - Once Upon a Time (Recap Show) - 1.2 - 4 - 4.44
NBC - Dateline (N) - 1.1 - 4 - 5.58
FOX - Bob's Burgers (N) - 0.9 - 3 - 2.21
FOX - The Simpsons (N) - 1.2 - 4 - 2.69
ABC - Once Upon a Time (N) - 2.4 - 7 - 7.66
CBS - The Amazing Race (N) - 1.9 - 5 - 8.46
FOX - The Simpsons (N) - 1.6 - 5 - 3.75
FOX - Family Guy (N) - 2.2 - 6 - 4.56
ABC - Resurrection (Series Premiere) - 3.8 - 10 - 13.90
FOX - Cosmos: A Spacetime Odyssey (Series Premiere) - 2.1 - 5 - 5.77
CBS - The Good Wife (N) - 1.3 - 3 - 8.94
NBC - The Voice (R) - 1.1 - 3 - 3.95
ABC - Revenge (N) - 1.9 - 5 - 6.60
CBS - The Mentalist (N) - 1.6 - 4 - 9.95
Source: Nielsen Media Research
The five main factors I consider when making a prediction are thus:
1. Does the show win its timeslot, and how often? (CW shows are exempt from this criteria.)
2. How do the show's ratings compare to similar programs on the same network? (Self explanatory.)
3. How long has the show been on the air? (Veteran series are always more likely to get renewed.)
4. Does the show have any high-profile leads? (Never discount star power.)
5. How much does the show cost to make? (Approximately, exact TV budgets are hard to come by.)
Newly updated predictions are in bold.
Once Upon a Time - Guaranteed Renewal
Resurrection - Too Soon to Tell
Revenge - Guaranteed Renewal
The Good Wife - Likely Renewal
The Mentalist - Likely Renewal
No Scripted Programming Available
The Simpsons - Already Renewed
Bob's Burgers - Already Renewed
Family Guy - Guaranteed Renewal
American Dad - Already Renewed (by TBS)
No Scripted Programming Available