NBC held on to its usual Monday demo crown, while ABC drew the most total viewers.
'The Voice' continued its recent yo-yo pattern, falling four tenths to a 3.7, after just rising four tenths last week. Despite the drop, the veteran reality series still won the night in the 18-49 demo. Lead-out 'The Blacklist' rose one tenth to a 2.8.
'Dancing with the Stars' took a big tumble of its own for ABC, falling three tenths to a 2.3. 'Castle' held up well regardless, matching last week's 1.8. 'How I Met Your Mother's penultimate half-hour shot up six tenths to a 3.5, earning the night's best scripted demos.
'2 Broke Girls' kept the CBS rises coming, bumping up a tenth to a 2.3. 'Mike & Molly' increased by two tenths, posting a 2.0. 'Mom' rose a single tenth to a 1.9. 'Intelligence' matched last week's 1.1, and remains a lock to meet the ax.
Fox had a blah night, with 'Bones' and 'The Following' both matching last week's 1.4s. On the plus side, at least the latter didn't set another all-time low. The CW's apparent Monday curse continues, with 'Star-Crossed' matching last week's 0.3, and 'The Tomorrow People' falling to a 0.3. 'TTP' is rapidly entering 'Beauty and the Beast' territory, and has failed to earn a stay of execution on Mondays.
Key: Broadcast Network - Show Name - 18-49 Rating - 18-49 Share - Total Viewers In Millions
NBC - The Voice (N) - 3.7 - 10 - 12.85
CBS - How I Met Your Mother (N) - 3.5 - 11 - 9.04
ABC - Dancing with the Stars (N) - 2.3 - 6 - 14.65
FOX - Bones (N) - 1.4 - 4 - 5.82
CW - Star-Crossed (N) - 0.3 - 1 - 0.88
CBS - 2 Broke Girls (N) - 2.3 - 7 - 7.40
CBS - Mike & Molly (N) - 2.0 - 6 - 7.83
FOX - The Following (N) - 1.4 - 4 - 4.07
CW - The Tomorrow People (N) - 0.3 - 1 - 0.78
CBS - Mom (N) - 1.9 - 5 - 7.35
NBC - The Blacklist (N) - 2.8 - 8 - 10.80
ABC - Castle (N) - 1.8 - 5 - 9.78
CBS - Intelligence (N) - 1.1 - 3 - 4.99
Source: Nielsen Media Research
The five main factors I consider when making a prediction are thus:
1. Does the show win its timeslot, and how often? (CW shows are exempt from this criteria.)
2. How do the show's ratings compare to similar programs on the same network? (Self explanatory.)
3. How long has the show been on the air? (Veteran series are always more likely to get renewed.)
4. Does the show have any high-profile leads? (Never discount star power.)
5. How much does the show cost to make? (Approximately, exact TV budgets are hard to come by.)
Newly updated predictions are in bold.
Castle - Likely Renewal
How I Met Your Mother - Final Season
2 Broke Girls - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction
Mike & Molly - Likely Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction
Mom - Likely Cancellation Renewed 3/13/14 *Incorrect Prediction
Intelligence - Guaranteed Cancellation
Star-Crossed - Guaranteed Cancellation
Beauty and the Beast - Guaranteed Cancellation
The Tomorrow People - Guaranteed Cancellation
Bones - Already Renewed
Almost Human - Likely Cancellation
The Following - Likely Cancellation Renewed 3/7/14 *Incorrect Prediction
The Blacklist - Already Renewed
Shows correctly predicted (so far) - 20
CBS - 2 Broke Girls, The Big Bang Theory, Blue Bloods, Criminal Minds, CSI, Elementary, The Good Wife, Hawaii Five-0, The Millers, NCIS, NCIS: Los Angeles, Person of Interest, Two and a Half Men
FOX - Brooklyn Nine-Nine, New Girl, Raising Hope
NBC - Chicago Fire, Chicago P.D., Grimm, Parks and Recreation
Shows incorrectly predicted (so far) - 3 - The Following, The Mindy Project, Mom
Current accuracy rate: 87%