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Primetime Ratings, Monday, 3/24/14

 

How I Met Your Mother

 

NBC held on to its usual Monday demo crown, while ABC drew the most total viewers.

'The Voice' continued its recent yo-yo pattern, falling four tenths to a 3.7, after just rising four tenths last week. Despite the drop, the veteran reality series still won the night in the 18-49 demo. Lead-out 'The Blacklist' rose one tenth to a 2.8.

'Dancing with the Stars' took a big tumble of its own for ABC, falling three tenths to a 2.3. 'Castle' held up well regardless, matching last week's 1.8. 'How I Met Your Mother's penultimate half-hour shot up six tenths to a 3.5, earning the night's best scripted demos.

'2 Broke Girls' kept the CBS rises coming, bumping up a tenth to a 2.3. 'Mike & Molly' increased by two tenths, posting a 2.0. 'Mom' rose a single tenth to a 1.9. 'Intelligence' matched last week's 1.1, and remains a lock to meet the ax.

Fox had a blah night, with 'Bones' and 'The Following' both matching last week's 1.4s. On the plus side, at least the latter didn't set another all-time low. The CW's apparent Monday curse continues, with 'Star-Crossed' matching last week's 0.3, and 'The Tomorrow People' falling to a 0.3. 'TTP' is rapidly entering 'Beauty and the Beast' territory, and has failed to earn a stay of execution on Mondays.

Key: Broadcast Network - Show Name - 18-49 Rating - 18-49 Share - Total Viewers In Millions

8PM

NBC - The Voice (N) - 3.7 - 10 - 12.85

CBS - How I Met Your Mother (N) - 3.5 - 11 - 9.04

ABC - Dancing with the Stars (N) - 2.3 - 6 - 14.65

FOX - Bones (N) - 1.4 - 4 - 5.82

CW - Star-Crossed (N) - 0.3 - 1 - 0.88

8:30PM

CBS - 2 Broke Girls (N) - 2.3 - 7 - 7.40

9PM

CBS - Mike & Molly (N) - 2.0 - 6 - 7.83

FOX - The Following (N) - 1.4 - 4 - 4.07

CW - The Tomorrow People (N) - 0.3 - 1 - 0.78

9:30PM

CBS - Mom (N) - 1.9 - 5 - 7.35

10PM

NBC - The Blacklist (N) - 2.8 - 8 - 10.80

ABC - Castle (N) - 1.8 - 5 - 9.78

CBS - Intelligence (N) - 1.1 - 3 - 4.99

Source: Nielsen Media Research

PRIMETIME PROGNOSTICATION

The five main factors I consider when making a prediction are thus:

1. Does the show win its timeslot, and how often? (CW shows are exempt from this criteria.)

2. How do the show's ratings compare to similar programs on the same network? (Self explanatory.)

3. How long has the show been on the air? (Veteran series are always more likely to get renewed.)

4. Does the show have any high-profile leads? (Never discount star power.)

5. How much does the show cost to make? (Approximately, exact TV budgets are hard to come by.)

Newly updated predictions are in bold.

ABC

Castle - Likely Renewal

CBS

How I Met Your Mother - Final Season

2 Broke Girls - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

Mike & Molly - Likely Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

Mom - Likely Cancellation Renewed 3/13/14 *Incorrect Prediction

Intelligence - Guaranteed Cancellation

The CW

Star-Crossed - Guaranteed Cancellation

Beauty and the Beast - Guaranteed Cancellation

The Tomorrow People - Guaranteed Cancellation

FOX

Bones - Already Renewed

Almost Human - Likely Cancellation

The Following - Likely Cancellation Renewed 3/7/14 *Incorrect Prediction

NBC

The Blacklist - Already Renewed

Prediction Stats

Shows correctly predicted (so far) - 20
CBS - 2 Broke Girls, The Big Bang Theory, Blue Bloods, Criminal Minds, CSI, Elementary, The Good Wife, Hawaii Five-0, The Millers, NCIS, NCIS: Los Angeles, Person of Interest, Two and a Half Men
FOX - Brooklyn Nine-Nine, New Girl, Raising Hope
NBC - Chicago Fire, Chicago P.D., Grimm, Parks and Recreation

Shows incorrectly predicted (so far) - 3 - The Following, The Mindy Project, Mom

Current accuracy rate: 87%


Details
Network:
- CW
- ABC
- CBS
- NBC
- FOX

Written by: Michael Stevenson
Mar 25th, 2014, 1:18 pm

Images courtesy of CBS

msd85
(Crazed Contributor)

Level 39 (81%)
Points: 17839.7
Since: 07/Jul/10
Message Posted On Mar 25th, 2014, 11:59 pm

That's a fair point Jingleman, and one I had considered. That said, I just can't see The CW keeping shows that low rated. The only example I can recall of the network renewing a show drawing in the 0.2-0.4 range regularly is Nikita, which needed a fourth season to qualify for syndication sales. Beast is only in season two, while Crossed and TTP are freshman series, so none have the same "give us one more season for reruns leverage."

 

As for what could fill the hole in the schedule, I can easily see the Rob Thomas pilot 'IZombie' getting picked up to series, and the spin-off 'Supernatural: Bloodlines' will likely get a series order as well. Add 'Flash' to the mix, and the potential schedule hole has been filled.

Jingleman

Level 2 (9%)
Mood: indescribable
Since: 12/Oct/13
Message Posted On Mar 25th, 2014, 11:28 pm

If CW cancel all three of these then it will leave a hole in their scheduling as they seem to have very little in the pipeline. Other than The Flash is there anything else which looks likely to get a series order ??

Anonymous

Message Posted On Mar 25th, 2014, 9:35 pm
Thanks Michael
msd85
(Crazed Contributor)

Level 39 (81%)
Points: 17839.7
Since: 07/Jul/10
Message Posted On Mar 25th, 2014, 6:53 pm

Another commenter asked me about this the other day, so I'll just paraphrase my response to them: While every major TV website (including us) reported that Castle was getting picked up for two seasons last May, the industry scuttlebutt ended up being incorrect. ABC only renewed the show for one season, that being the currently airing sixth. The show has not yet been renewed for season 7.

Anonymous

Message Posted On Mar 25th, 2014, 5:01 pm
Didn't Castle get picked up last season for 2 future seasons? In other words hasn't castle already been renewed for next season?
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