Primetime Ratings, Tuesday, 3/25/14

 

 

For the first Tuesday in many weeks, CBS won the night in all measures, denying NBC the victory.

Speaking of which, the Eye had a great night in all respects, with its entire line-up increasing to some degree. 'NCIS' began things by bumping up a tenth to a 2.5. 'NCIS: LA' did the same, rising a tenth to a 2.4. 'Person of Interest' got the biggest shot in the arm, jumping up three tenths to a 2.0.

Conversely, 'The Voice' fell two tenths to a season low of 3.4 for NBC. 'About A Boy' followed that by dropping a tenth to a 2.0, but is still beyond safe, as far the Peacock's comedy line-up goes. 'Growing Up Fisher' also dipped a tenth to a 1.7, but remains quite safe from the ax as well.

FOX had a decidedly mixed night, with 'Glee' matching last week's 1.1 to start. Unfortunately, 'New Girl' fell to a new series low of 1.2. right afterward. Encouragingly, the season finale of renewed freshman sitcom 'Brooklyn Nine-Nine' rose two tenths to a 1.3, the show's best rating since late February.

ABC's beyond doomed 'Mind Games' matched the 0.7 it's drawn the last two weeks. I really think that Christian Slater needs to fire his agent, and/or be way more choosy about the projects he agrees to star in. Let's consider the evidence, shall we?

'My Own Worst Enemy': canceled after nine episodes. 'The Forgotten': canceled after 17 episodes. 'Breaking In': canceled after 20 episodes. 'Mind Games': Extremely likely to be canceled after its 13 episode run finishes. Being the first billed lead actor in four different canceled shows in one six year span has got to be some kind of record. Oh, and 'Supernatural' rose to a 1.0 for The CW.

Key: Broadcast Network - Show Name - 18-49 Rating - 18-49 Share - Total Viewers In Millions

8PM

NBC - The Voice (N) - 3.4 - 11 - 12.45

CBS - NCIS (N) - 2.5 - 8 - 17.52

FOX - Glee (N) - 1.1 - 3 - 2.68

ABC - Marvel's Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. (R) - 0.8 - 2 - 2.90

CW - The 100 (R) - 0.5 - 2 - 1.57

9PM

CBS - NCIS: Los Angeles (N) - 2.4 - 7 - 15.54

NBC - About A Boy (N) - 2.0 - 6 - 7.41

FOX - New Girl (N) - 1.2 - 4 - 2.49

CW - Supernatural (N) - 1.0 - 3 - 2.25

ABC - The Goldbergs (R) - 0.9 - 2 - 3.01

9:30PM

NBC - Growing Up Fisher (N) - 1.7 - 5 - 6.24

FOX - Brooklyn Nine-Nine (N) - 1.3 - 4 - 2.59

ABC - Trophy Wife (R) - 0.7 - 2 - 2.25

10PM

CBS - Person of Interest (N) - 2.0 - 6 - 12.23

NBC - Chicago Fire (R) - 1.0 - 3 - 3.89

ABC - Mind Games (N) - 0.7 - 2 - 2.06

Source: Nielsen Media Research

PRIMETIME PROGNOSTICATION

The five main factors I consider when making a prediction are thus:

1. Does the show win its timeslot, and how often? (CW shows are exempt from this criteria.)

2. How do the show's ratings compare to similar programs on the same network? (Self explanatory.)

3. How long has the show been on the air? (Veteran series are always more likely to get renewed.)

4. Does the show have any high-profile leads? (Never discount star power.)

5. How much does the show cost to make? (Approximately, exact TV budgets are hard to come by.)

Newly updated predictions are in bold.

Marvel's Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. - Guaranteed Renewal

The Goldbergs - Likely Renewal

Trophy Wife - Guaranteed Cancellation

Mind Games - Guaranteed Cancellation

NCIS - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

NCIS: Los Angeles - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

Person of Interest - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

The Originals - Already Renewed

Supernatural - Already Renewed

Glee - Already Renewed

New Girl - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/7/14 *Correct Prediction

Brookyln Nine-Nine - Likely Renewal Renewed 3/7/14 *Correct Prediction

The Mindy Project - Likely Cancellation Renewed 3/7/14 *Incorrect Prediction

About A Boy - Likely Renewal

Growing Up Fisher - Likely Renewal

Chicago Fire - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/19/14 *Correct Prediction

Prediction Stats

Shows correctly predicted (so far) - 20 - 2 Broke Girls, The Big Bang Theory, Blue Bloods, Brooklyn Nine-Nine, Chicago Fire, Chicago PD, Criminal Minds, CSI, Elementary, The Good Wife, Grimm, Hawaii Five-0, The Millers, NCIS, NCIS: LA, New Girl, Parks and Recreation, Person of Interest, Raising Hope, Two and a Half Men

Shows incorrectly predicted (so far) - 3 - The Following, The Mindy Project, Mom

Current accuracy rate: 87%