Login or register  

Primetime Ratings, Thursday, 4/10/14


Primetime Ratings, Thursday, 4/10/14


CBS and ABC split the Thursday victory.

In a mild shocker, 'The Big Bang Theory' dropped two tenths to a 4.7, setting a new season low for the most popular comedy on television. 'The Millers' followed that by dipping three tenths to a 2.5. 'Two and a Half Men' dipped a tenth as well, posting a 2.4. 'The Crazy Ones' once again matched the 1.7 it's been earning for weeks, but its lack of improvement has likely sealed its doom. 'Elementary' was the Eye's only offering to rise, bumping up one tenth to a 1.6.

A special Thurday airing of 'Shark Tank' earned a 1.7 for ABC, way up from the 0.9 'Once Upon a Time in Wonderland's finale earned last week in the same slot. Still, last Friday's 'Tank' scored a 2.0, making it the rare series that might be better off at the end of the week. 'Grey's Anatomy' fell one tenth to a 2.6, although it still topped 9 p.m. 'Scandal' rose a tenth to a 3.0.

Over on FOX, 'Hell's Kitchen' plunged four tenths to a season low of 1.4. 'American Idol' rose one tenth from last Thursday's all-time low, garnering a 1.8. 'Surviving Jack' matched last week's 1.2, and has fallen only one tenth since its premiere. As such, it's getting upgraded to a likely renewal. If 'Mindy' can get renewed while posting 1.2s (or worse), so can 'Jack.'

In a worrying sign for 'Community' fans, the cult comedy' matched last week's series low of 0.9. I still think 'Community' will get renewed, if only because of the gigantic amounts of fan backlash that would occur if NBC cut the show off right before the long demanded "six seasons and a movie." That said, a renewal at this point will come by the skin of 'Community's teeth.

Already renewed comedy 'Parks and Recreation' dropped a tenth to a 1.0. 'Parenthood' also shed a single tenth, matching its previous series low of 1.1. Finally, 'Reign' fell two tenths to a new series low of 0.4. I was perplexed when The CW renewed this a few months back, and I remain perplexed now. Surely the network had to know that a show doing 0.6s was only going to fall further?

Key: Broadcast Network - Show Name - 18-49 Rating - 18-49 Share - Total Viewers In Millions


CBS - The Big Bang Theory (N) - 4.7 - 17 - 16.29

ABC - Shark Tank (N) - 1.7 - 6 - 6.85

FOX - Hell's Kitchen (N) - 1.4 - 5 - 4.17

NBC - Community (N) - 0.9 - 3 - 2.56

CW -  The Vampire Diaries (R) - 0.3 - 1 - 0.84


CBS - The Millers (N) - 2.5 - 9 - 10.07

NBC - Parks & Recreation (N) - 1.0 - 3 - 2.56


ABC - Grey's Anatomy (N) - 2.6 - 8 - 8.18

CBS - Two and a Half Men (N) - 2.4 - 8 - 9.55

FOX - American Idol (N) - 1.8 - 5 - 7.63

NBC - Hollywood Game Night (R) - 0.9 - 3 - 2.62

CW - Reign (N) - 0.4 - 1 - 1.23


CBS - The Crazy Ones (N) - 1.7 - 5 - 6.87

FOX - Surviving Jack (N) - 1.2 - 4 - 4.32


ABC - Scandal (N) - 3.0 - 9 - 9.23

CBS - Elementary (N) - 1.6 - 5 - 7.90

NBC - Parenthood (N) - 1.1 - 3 - 3.66

Source: Nielsen Media Research


The five main factors I consider when making a prediction are thus:

1. Does the show win its timeslot, and how often? (CW shows are exempt from this criteria.)

2. How do the show's ratings compare to similar programs on the same network? (Self explanatory.)

3. How long has the show been on the air? (Veteran series are always more likely to get renewed.)

4. Does the show have any high-profile leads? (Never discount star power.)

5. How much does the show cost to make? (Approximately, exact TV budgets are hard to come by.)

Newly updated predictions are in bold.


Once Upon a Time in Wonderland - Guaranteed Cancellation Canceled 3/28/14 *Correct Prediction

Grey's Anatomy - Guaranteed Renewal

Scandal - Guaranteed Renewal


The Big Bang Theory - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/12/14 *Correct Prediction

The Millers - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

Two and a Half Men - Likely Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

The Crazy Ones - Likely Cancellation

Elementary - Likely Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

The CW

The Vampire Diaries - Already Renewed

Reign - Already Renewed


Surviving Jack - Likely Renewal


Community - Likely Renewal

Parks and Recreation - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/19/14 *Correct Prediction

Parenthood - Likely Renewal

Prediction Stats

Shows correctly predicted (so far) - 22
ABC - Mind Games, Once Upon a Time in Wonderland
CBS - 2 Broke Girls, The Big Bang Theory, Blue Bloods, Criminal Minds, CSI, Elementary, The Good Wife, Hawaii Five-0, The Millers, NCIS, NCIS: Los Angeles, Person of Interest, Two and a Half Men
FOX - Brooklyn Nine-Nine, New Girl, Raising Hope
NBC - Chicago Fire, Chicago P.D., Grimm, Parks and Recreation

Shows incorrectly predicted (so far) - 3 - The Following, The Mindy Project, Mom

Current accuracy rate: 88%

- CW

Written by: msd85
Apr 11th, 2014, 7:08 am

Images courtesy of CBS


Message Posted On Apr 12th, 2014, 5:46 pm
Some one recently said you were playing safe with your predictions. By sticking your neck out and having Community in the Likely Renewal category says otherwise. The first 2 episodes of the latest season have just aired in the UK and I'm afraid they were a bit of a disappointment, especially episode 2. I'm sure it'll get better but with the current figures, even with a predicted backlash, I don't see why NBC wouldn't cut its losses.
Related news

Primetime Ratings, Sunday January 15, 2012

Tonight was a night of interesting episodes including the premiere of..

Primetime Ratings, Monday January 16, 2012

Tonight’s shows offered a lot of laughs and shocking results. With the..

Primetime Ratings, Wednesday January 18, 2012

Wednesday offered a barrel of laughs as Modern family proved still to be..