Primetime Ratings, Thursday, 2/27/14
CBS returned to its former Thursday throne, winning the night in all measures.
'The Big Bang Theory' returned to a two tenths drop, earning a 5.0. Despite the decrease, 'TBBT' still easily crushed everything else in both demos and total viewers. Conversely, 'The Millers' rose to a 2.7, a good sign for its future.
Flipping 'Two and a Half Men' and 'The Crazy Ones' timeslots may end up working out for all involved. 'Men' shot up six tenths to a 2.5, while 'Crazy' rose two tenths to a 1.9. CBS' worst performer of the night was 'Elementary, which dropped two tenths to a 1.6.
Over on ABC, 'Grey's Anatomy' returned to a four tenths rise, posting a 3.1. 'Scandal' followed that up by rising to a 3.4. On FOX, 'American Idol' matched last Thursday's all-time low of 2.4. Ouch. 'Rake' continued to make payments on its spot in the TV graveyard, falling to a 0.8.
The Peacock's Thursday line-up returned to considerable losses. 'Community' tied its previous series low of 1.0. If the struggling veteran comedy at some point falls below the 1.0 threshold, I'll be ready to downgrade my "Primetime Prognostication" prediction for it. Until then, I think it's still safe.
'Parks & Recreation' did just a tad better, posting a 1.1. My comment concerning 'Community' fully applies to 'Parks' as well. 'Hollywood Game Night' fell three tenths to a 1.2. 'Parenthood' fell to a new series low of 1.1, not doing much better than the above sitcoms.
As for The CW, 'The Vampire Diaries' matched the below normal 0.9 it garnered last time out, while the recently renewed 'Reign' dropped to a 0.5. 'Diaries' slump is likely an outlier, with its average demo this season being a 1.2. However, 'Reign' was renewed by the skin of its teeth, so it dropping to a new all-time low can't be a confidence booster for network executives.
Key: Broadcast Network - Show Name - 18-49 Rating - 18-49 Share - Total Viewers In Millions
8PM
CBS - The Big Bang Theory (N) - 5.0 - 16 - 17.73
FOX - American Idol (N) - 2.4 - 7 - 10.01
ABC - Countdown to the Oscars (N) - 1.0 - 3 - 4.73
NBC - Community (N) - 1.0 - 3 - 2.56
CW - The Vampire Diaries (N) - 0.9 - 3 - 2.03
8:30PM
CBS - The Millers (N) - 2.7 - 9 - 11.10
NBC - Parks & Recreation (N) - 1.1 - 3 - 2.52
9PM
ABC - Grey's Anatomy (N) - 3.1 - 9 - 9.42
CBS - Two and a Half Men (N) - 2.5 - 7 - 10.02
NBC - Hollywood Game Night (N) - 1.2 - 3 - 3.42
FOX - Rake (N) - 0.8 - 2 - 3.45
CW - Reign (N) - 0.5 - 1 - 1.32
9:30PM
CBS - The Crazy Ones (N) - 1.9 - 5 - 7.41
10PM
ABC - Scandal (N) - 3.4 - 10 - 9.32
CBS - Elementary (N) - 1.6 - 5 - 8.66
NBC - Parenthood (N) - 1.1 - 3 - 3.59
Source: Nielsen Media Research
Hi, everyone. This is usually where these posts end, isn't it? Well, not anymore, at least for now. Why? Well, the longer I've spent tracking the ratings trends for TVRage, the more I think I've got a decent handle on which shows are likely to get canceled or renewed.
With that said, I'm about to put that theory to the test. Presented below are my "official" predictions for what will happen to Wednesday's top scripted series. Reality programs are excluded.
PRIMETIME PROGNOSTICATION
Note: The five main factors I consider when making a prediction are thus:
1. Does the show win its timeslot, and how often? (CW shows are exempt from this criteria.)
2. How do the show's ratings compare to similar programs on the same network? (Self explanatory.)
3. How long has the show been on the air? (Veteran series are always more likely to get renewed.)
4. Does the show have any high-profile leads? (Never discount star power.)
5. How much does the show cost to make? (Approximately, exact TV budgets are hard to come by.)
Once Upon a Time in Wonderland - Guaranteed Cancellation
Grey's Anatomy - Guaranteed Renewal
Scandal - Guaranteed Renewal
The Big Bang Theory - Guaranteed Renewal
The Millers - Guaranteed Renewal
Two and a Half Men - Likely Renewal
The Crazy Ones - Likely Renewal
Elementary - Likely Renewal
The Vampire Diaries - Already Renewed
Reign - Already Renewed
Rake - Guaranteed Cancellation
Community - Likely Renewal
Parks & Recreation - Likely Renewal
Parenthood - Likely Renewal
msd85
After re-reading the Greenblatt statement from January, it does seem like I may have mentally transposed his 'Community' comments onto 'Parks & Recreation.' As for the Grantland podcast interview with O'Heir, I was genuinely not aware of it, as I'm not a regular visitor to that particular website. Thank you for bringing that information to my attention. After listening to what O'Heir said, it does indeed seem like 'Parks' is a veritable lock for renewal. With that in mind, I'll likely upgrade 'Parks' to "Guaranteed Renewal" status next week, unless of course it suddenly drops below a 1.0.
It's not a big deal either way. But he didn't say highly likely, he said highly likely and bullish for Community, he said for sure Parks was renewed. Just go ahead and enter the words "Parks season 7 renewed" into Google and have a look at what pops up. They also had an interveiw on Grantland with Jim O'heir and even he guaranteed and was talking candidly about season 7.
Actually sniperelite, 'Parks' still hasn't been officially renewed by NBC. While it's true that network president Bob Greenblatt made a public statement in January saying that a seventh season was highly likely, that does not necessarily translate into a set in stone decree. Until NBC makes an official announcement concerning 'Parks' future, I have chosen to keep it in the "likely renewal" category. Hope that clears things up.
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