Primetime Ratings, Thursday, 3/13/14

 

 

CBS once again won Thursday in all measures.

'The Big Bang Theory' took an uncharacteristically large hit, falling four tenths to a 4.9. Just renewed comedy 'The Millers' fell half a point to a 2.4. Also renewed comedy, 'Two and a Half Men, dropped two tenths to a 2.4. 'The Crazy Ones' matched last week's 1.7, but with 'Crazy' being one of the only show not renewed by CBS yesterday, I'm ready to downgrade my prediction for it. 'Elementary' earned a 1.7 as well, although it dipped a tenth to get there.

The season premiere of 'Hell's Kitchen' earned a 2.0, down one tenth from last year's 2.1. All in all, that's a fairly negligible drop. With 'Hell's back, 'American Idol' shifted to 9 p.m., matching last week's series low of 2.2. 'Once Upon a Time in Wonderland' continued marching toward the ax, matching last week's 0.8. 'Grey's Anatomy' dropped three tenths to a 2.3, and really, really needs a better lead-in. 'Scandal' matched last week's 2.8.

'Community' matched the 1.0 series low it's drawn for several weeks now, but I still maintain that if it doesn't fall below that, it'll get renewed. 'Parks and Recreation' shed one of the two tenths it gained last week, garnering a 1.2. 'Hollywood Game Night' dropped a tenth to a 1.0, and seems to have exited its initial honeymoon period. 'Parenthood' matched last week's 1.2. Finally, 'Reign' fell two tenths to its previous series low of 0.5. for The CW.

Key: Broadcast Network - Show Name - 18-49 Rating - 18-49 Share - Total Viewers In Millions

8PM

CBS - The Big Bang Theory (N) - 4.9 - 17 - 17.34

FOX - Hell's Kitchen (Season Premiere) - 2.0 - 7 - 5.45

NBC - Community (N) - 1.0 - 4 - 2.77

ABC - Once Upon a Time in Wonderland (N) - 0.8 - 3 - 3.22

CW -  The Vampire Diaries (R) - 0.3 - 1 - 0.89

8:30PM

CBS - The Millers (N) - 2.4 - 8 - 10.52

NBC - Parks & Recreation (N) - 1.2 - 4 - 2.72

9PM

CBS - Two and a Half Men (N) - 2.4 - 8 - 9.43

ABC - Grey's Anatomy (N) - 2.3 - 7 - 7.36

FOX - American Idol (N) - 2.2 - 6 - 8.86

NBC - Hollywood Game Night (N) - 1.0 - 3 - 2.89

CW - Reign (N) - 0.5 - 2 - 1.48

9:30PM

CBS - The Crazy Ones (N) - 1.7 - 5 - 6.71

10PM

ABC - Scandal (N) - 2.8 - 8 - 8.22

CBS - Elementary (N) - 1.7 - 5 - 8.94

NBC - Parenthood (N) - 1.2 - 4 - 3.87

Source: Nielsen Media Research

PRIMETIME PROGNOSTICATION

The five main factors I consider when making a prediction are thus:

1. Does the show win its timeslot, and how often? (CW shows are exempt from this criteria.)

2. How do the show's ratings compare to similar programs on the same network? (Self explanatory.)

3. How long has the show been on the air? (Veteran series are always more likely to get renewed.)

4. Does the show have any high-profile leads? (Never discount star power.)

5. How much does the show cost to make? (Approximately, exact TV budgets are hard to come by.)

Newly updated predictions are in bold.

Once Upon a Time in Wonderland - Guaranteed Cancellation

Grey's Anatomy - Guaranteed Renewal

Scandal - Guaranteed Renewal

The Big Bang Theory - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/12/14 *Correct Prediction

The Millers - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

Two and a Half Men - Likely Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

The Crazy Ones - Likely Cancellation

Elementary - Likely Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

The Vampire Diaries - Already Renewed

Reign - Already Renewed

No Scripted Programming Available

Community - Likely Renewal

Parks & Recreation - Guaranteed Renewal

Parenthood - Likely Renewal

Prediction Stats

Shows correctly predicted (so far) - 16 - 2 Broke Girls, The Big Bang Theory, Blue Bloods, Brooklyn Nine-Nine, Criminal Minds, CSI, Elementary, The Good Wife, Hawaii Five-0, The Millers, NCIS, NCIS: Los Angeles, New Girl, Person of Interest, Raising Hope, Two and a Half Men

Shows incorrectly predicted (so far) - 3 - The Following, The Mindy Project, Mom

Current accuracy rate: 84%