ABC and CBS split the Friday victory yet again.
'The Neighbors' dipped one tenth to a 0.8 to start things off. I've been considering upgrading my prediction for the sophomore comedy, due to how stable its ratings have been as of late. In the end though, it's on ABC, and ABC rarely renews things that average less than a 1.5.
Moving on, 'Shark Tank' fell one tenth to a 2.0, but still topped the night in the 18-49 demo. '20/20' rose a tenth to a 1.9, coming in just below its lead-in. 'Undercover Boss' dropped two tenths to a 1.2, although it remained well within the stable range that earned it a renewal last week.
Continuing CBS' night, 'Hawaii Five-0' matched last week's 1.4, as did lead-out 'Blue Bloods'. The Eye has really hit on a winning formula for Fridays this season, regularly topping the night in total viewers, and coming in second in the demos. 'Dateline' fell four tenths to a 1.1 for NBC.
'Grimm' demonstrated why it's a lock to return this fall, rising a tenth to a 1.6, and drawing the highest scripted demos of the night. Somewhat surprisingly, 'Hannibal' recovered a tad in week three, bumping back up to a 0.9. At this point, I'm ready to make an official prediction for the series.
Finally, FOX had an awful night, and seems to have completely given up on trying to compete for the Friday crown. Newly moved legal dramedy 'Rake' dropped three tenths to a 0.5, easily a series low. 'Enlisted' did no better, earning a 0.5 of its own. Recently canceled sitcom 'Raising Hope' matched the 0.5 it earned last week.
Key: Broadcast Network - Show Name - 18-49 Rating - 18-49 Share - Total Viewers In Millions
CBS - Undercover Boss (N) - 1.2 - 5 - 6.56
NBC - Dateline (N) - 1.1 - 4 - 6.12
ABC - Last Man Standing (R) - 0.8 - 3 - 4.67
FOX - Rake (N) - 0.5 - 2 - 1.82
CW - Whose Line is it Anyway? (R) - 0.3 - 1 - 1.11
ABC - The Neighbors (N) - 0.8 - 3 - 3.45
CW - Whose Line is it Anyway? (R) - 0.5 - 2 - 1.26
ABC - Shark Tank (N) - 2.0 - 7 - 7.49
NBC - Grimm (N) - 1.6 - 5 - 5.63
CBS - Hawaii Five-0 (N) - 1.4 - 5 - 9.53
FOX - Enlisted (N) - 0.5 - 2 - 1.36
CW - Colin and Brad: Two Man Group (R) - 0.3 - 1 - 0.85
FOX - Raising Hope (N) - 0.5 - 2 - 1.42
ABC - 20/20 (N) - 1.9 - 6 - 6.99
CBS - Blue Bloods (N) - 1.4 - 5 - 11.68
NBC - Hannibal (N) - 0.9 - 3 - 2.47
Source: Nielsen Media Research
The five main factors I consider when making a prediction are thus:
1. Does the show win its timeslot, and how often? (CW shows are exempt from this criteria.)
2. How do the show's ratings compare to similar programs on the same network? (Self explanatory.)
3. How long has the show been on the air? (Veteran series are always more likely to get renewed.)
4. Does the show have any high-profile leads? (Never discount star power.)
5. How much does the show cost to make? (Approximately, exact TV budgets are hard to come by.)
Note: Ratings expectations for shows airing on Friday night are generally lower.
Newly updated predictions are in bold.
Last Man Standing - Guaranteed Renewal
The Neighbors - Guaranteed Cancellation
Hawaii Five-0 - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction
Blue Bloods - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction
Hart of Dixie - Likely Renewal
Rake - Guaranteed Cancellation
Enlisted - Guaranteed Cancellation
Raising Hope - Guaranteed Cancellation Canceled 3/10/14 *Correct Prediction
Grimm - Guaranteed Renewal
Hannibal - Likely Renewal
Shows correctly predicted (so far) - 16 - 2 Broke Girls, The Big Bang Theory, Blue Bloods, Brooklyn Nine-Nine, Criminal Minds, CSI, Elementary, The Good Wife, Hawaii Five-0, The Millers, NCIS, NCIS: Los Angeles, New Girl, Person of Interest, Raising Hope, Two and a Half Men
Shows incorrectly predicted (so far) - 3 - The Following, The Mindy Project, Mom
Current accuracy rate: 84%